Braves Today

Lindsay Crosby breaks down MLB Trade Rumors’ arbitration projections for the Braves, arguing Dylan Lee is a clear keep around $4.2M despite recurring second-half struggles, especially with Raisel Iglesias headed to free agency. He explains how arbitration “file and trial” works and why hearings happen even over small gaps. Bryce Elder’s projected $4M is worth paying, but he could become a trade chip if Atlanta adds top-rotation help. The episode closes on fringe arbitration decisions: James Karinchak ($1.1M) as a possible non-tender, Joey Wince ($900K) likely to return after a torn ACL, and waiver-claim Michael Grove ($1M) as a low-cost swingman bullpen fit.

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Lindsay Crosby breaks down why the Braves must find a shortstop and why trades may be more realistic than free agency. He evaluates targets including Elly De La Cruz (elite but likely unavailable and extremely costly), Zach Neto (more plausible with roster flexibility), Jeremy Peña (one-year rental with defensive/plate discipline concerns), and Gunnar Henderson (two years of control but injury questions). He also weighs expensive veteran options like Corey Seager and Trevor Story, plus a suggestion of a Dansby Swanson reunion, while emphasizing Atlanta will need creativity given a thin shortstop market.

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Alex Anthopoulos admits the Braves and Austin Riley still can’t “solve” his decline despite full health in 2026. Lindsay Crosby breaks down Riley’s falling production (OPS, K-rate, xwOBA), shows his bat speed/swing length remain elite, and highlights a massive collapse on borderline “shadow” pitches (-39 run value). With adjustments failing to stick, Atlanta must track process metrics in 2027 and add lineup depth—especially a right-handed bat—so the offense can function without banking on an MVP-level rebound.

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Lindsay Crosby launches a new Friday mailbag for Braves Today, addressing whether Atlanta should trade Ronald Acuña Jr. (not this offseason, but 2027 is a key evaluation point), and explaining why moving him now would be selling low and creating another roster hole. He discusses a public letter from investor Breach Inlet urging a team sale, plus a proposed Section 162 tax change that could raise the Braves’ taxes by roughly $19–20 million compared to private owners. Crosby also covers qualifying-offer and market expectations for Tyler Mahle (ineligible), Mauricio Dubón (likely pricier than fans expect), and Raisel Iglesias (uncertain), outlines free agents the front office likely won’t pursue, and compares how to judge a closing championship window versus a rough stretch.

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Lindsay Crosby breaks down lessons the Braves can take from the final four teams: the Dodgers’ “October overkill” approach to adding impact pitching, the Brewers’ purposeful patience and better swing decisions, the Rays’ constant roster churn to build depth, and the Guardians’ lineup length to survive when stars slump. He then reviews Braves-related award finalists, including Chris Sale and Martín Pérez in MLBPA voting and Gold Glove finalists Matt Olson, Michael Harris, Sale, and Mauricio Dubón.

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Read our written work: bravestoday.substack.com

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