Beating The Book with Gill Alexander

Gill Alexander, Todd Wishnev (VSiN Contributor), Will Hill (VSiN Host & Shoulda Bet More Podcast Host), and Drew Dinsick (NBC Sports Edge analyst, Deep Dive Podcast host) preview Week 3 in the NFL! The guys recap how they fared last week, give you their best bets for the week, their teaser of the week, survivor pool strategy, the big favorite most likely to lose outright, and the one game this weekend they want no part of.
0:00 - Introducing the panel
6:51 - Record on the season
8:40 - Dumbo of the Week candidates: Dave Doeren & CJ Bailey
10:30 - Dumbo of the Week candidate: Aaron Glenn
13:50 - Dumbo of the Week candidate: DeMeco Ryans
14:52 - Dumbo of the Week candidates: Todd Monken & John Harbaugh
16:50 - Aaron Glenn wins Dumbo of the Week
18:00 - In game bets from last week
19:40 - Texans offensive line is terrible and bad offensive line play around the NFL
20:50 - Falcons-Packers preview and if we have any bets on TNF
26:25 - Drew's 1st pick: Rams -2.5 at Broncos
28:20 - Todd's 1st pick: Bears +4.5 vs Eagles
34:37 - Will's 1st pick: Chargers +7.5 at Bills
38:11 - Gill's 1st pick: Jaguars -3 vs Patriots
40:20 - Gill's second pick: Saints -3 vs Raiders
42:25 - Will's second pick: Ravens-Cowboys over 52.5
43:50 - Todd's second pick: Chiefs-Dolphins under 46
48:20 - Drew's second pick: Panthers -2.5 at Browns
51:05 - Drew's final pick: Jets +6.5 at Lions
52:45 - Todd's final pick: Bengals-Steelers under 42.5
56:12 - Will's final pick: Jets +6.5 at Lions
57:35 - Gill's final pick: Ravens -3.5 at Cowboys
1:01:57 - Drew's teaser of the week: Seattle and Buffalo
1:05:15 - Todd's teaser of the week: Seattle and Denver
1:05:50 - Will's teaser of the week: Cleveland and Tennessee
1:06:21 - Gill's teaser of the week: Seattle and Buffalo
1:09:40 - Survivor pool strategy for Week 3
1:13:45 - Biggest favorite most likely to lose outright
1:15:35 - The one game we want no part of this week


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Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon give their thoughts on every game on the Week 3 NFL slate on Monday's Beating The Book. What are their initial thoughts on the Week 3 slate of games? Also, some impressions on Week 2.

BTB Analytics model's give you the spread, the current market line, the cover probability, and a quantified edge — showing exactly where and by how much their numbers disagree with the book. Go to BTB-Analytics and use Code VSIN for 10% off http://btb-analytics.com/

Sharp Plays: Follow the sharp money at SharpPlays.com http://sharpplays.com/

Ungambled: Most people think sports betting is about picking winners. UnGambled is built on a different idea — matched betting and arbitrage. Head to Ungambled and use code VSiN for 10% off http://ungambled.com/vsin

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Gill Alexander, Todd Wishnev (VSiN Contributor), Will Hill (VSiN Host & Shoulda Bet More Podcast Host), and Clevta preview Week 2 in the NFL! The guys recap how they fared in Week 1, give you their best bets for the week, their teaser of the week, survivor pool strategy, the big favorite most likely to lose outright, and the one game this weekend they want no part of.

1:05 - Todd's 0-3 week
2:45 - Will's 1-2 week
3:13 - Introducing Clevta
4:20 - Gill's 2-1 week and Week 1 bet recap
6:50 - NFL teams shortening the game with long possessions
13:35 - Dumbo of the Week candidates - Todd Monken, Robert Saleh, Ryan Day/Steve Sarkisian
18:30 - Honorary mention to Stefon Diggs and Javonte Williams as Dumbo of the Week
19:36 - You shouldn't play unders in-game, Todd's example with the Chiefs from this week
20:48 - Todd's in-game Cardinals play and how its harder for good NFL teams to come back in the second half
23:05 - Will first best bet over 54.5 for Lions-Bills
24:30 - Clevta on Bills laying the points, concerns with the Lions
27:20 - Clevta's first best bet - Jets +3.5
33:20 - Todd's first best bet - Vikings-Bears o48
39:35 - Gill's first best bet - Broncos -2.5
41:55 - Gill's second best bet - Eagles -7
43:44 - Will's first best bet - Buccaneers -8.5
45:05 - Todd's second best bet - Texans -2.5
48:30 - Gill also has Texans -2.5 as his third bet
49:30 - Clevta's second best bet - Vikings +4.5
51:34 - Clevta's third best bet - Cowboys -4
53:22 - Todd's third best bet - Commanders-Cowboys o50.5
55:05 - Will's third best bet - Jets +3.5
56:55 - Teaser of the Week
1:01:10 - Clevta's Survivor Pool update and Week 2 strategy
1:03:50 - Any interest in using the Chargers after they let us down last week
1:08:50 - Leaning 49ers and Buccaneers for survivor pools this week despite being a chalky play
1:10:20 - Big favorites most likely to lose outright this week
1:15:50 - The game we want no part of this weekend

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon give their thoughts on every game on the Week 2 NFL slate on Monday's Beating The Book. What are their initial thoughts on the Week 2 slate of games? Also, some impressions on Week 1.
BTB Analytics: BTB Analytics models give you the spread, the current market line, the cover probability, and a quantified edge — showing exactly where and by how much their numbers disagree with the book. Go to BTB-Analytics and use Code VSIN for 10% off http://btb-analytics.com/
Sharp Plays: Follow the sharp money at SharpPlays.com http://sharpplays.com/
Ungambled: Most people think sports betting is about picking winners. UnGambled is built on a different idea — matched betting and arbitrage. Head to Ungambled and use code VSiN for 10% off http://ungambled.com/vsin

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Gill Alexander, Todd Wishnev (VSiN Contributor), Will Hill (VSiN Host & Shoulda Bet More Podcast Host), and Steve Fezzik (Pro Sports Bettor) preview Week 1 in the NFL! The guys give you their best bets for the week, their favorite futures bets for the upcoming season, their teaser of the week, survivor pool strategy, the big favorite most likely to lose outright, and the one game this weekend they want no part of.
0:00 Introducing the panel
5:05 Gill explains the format and staples of the show
6:25 State of the NFL bettor | prediction markets vs traditional sportsbooks
12:10 Oddsmakers adjusted when comes to betting alt win totals and teasers
15:20 Is there still value in betting positional player unders on season long props
16:55 Creating 'manual' teasers by trying to exploit the prediction market and why its a negative EV play
19:31 Will Hill's futures bets
20:25 Steve Fezzik's futures bets
20:56 Todd Wishnev's futures bets
21:40 Gill Alexander's futures bets
24:00 Week 1 best bets
27:35 Difficulty of betting Week 1 this year
28:19 Week 1 bets continued
30:15 How 49ers and Rams approaching travel for Australia game and how to attack that game
34:51 Second round of best bets
38:33 Is Kyler Murray better than we think
41:01 Final round of best bets for Week 1
46:38 Are we overrating Tyler Shough and Saints
47:31 Gill's final Week 1 play
50:40 Teaser of the week
56:55 Survivor pool strategy for Week 1
1:04:00 Big favorite that is most likely to lose outright
1:07:44 The one game this weekend that you want no part of

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