Locked On Fantasy Basketball – Daily NBA Fantasy Basketball Podcast

OVERVIEW
This episode tackles the Washington Wizards' fantasy basketball outlook, digging into Brian Keefe's tricky job of balancing minutes for developing young players against veteran contributors. I break down the rotation, highlight which Wizards are being overdrafted or undervalued on major platforms, and lay out which players I'm targeting, avoiding, or stashing in redraft leagues.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Anthony Davis is deeply underpriced on Yahoo (ranked 45th) and worth a gamble in the 30s or even late 20s due to his per-game upside, despite legitimate durability concerns and a messy last season.
Trae Young's ADP varies wildly (Yahoo 18, ESPN 49); I see him as a safe third-rounder, but wouldn't draft him in the top 20 due to usage concerns and a likely cap on his minutes.
Alex Sarr's usage and production are likely to decline with the arrival of Anthony Davis and Trae Young—industry rankings in the 60s are too rich, and closer to pick 90–100 is more justifiable.
AJ Dybantsa is being drafted irresponsibly high (70s on major platforms); his fantasy profile is weak for category leagues given poor percentages, scoring reliance, and limited peripherals. Draft only as a late flyer (post-130), if at all.
Kyshawn George is a sensible later-round target—he offers a unique stat set with assists, steals, and blocks, though his shot profile still needs development.
Bilal Coulibaly's lack of offensive progress and expected drop in minutes put him outside the top-200 redraft conversation.
The Wizards' minutes will be tough to project all year—overcrowding, rotation uncertainty, and overlapping roles mean a number of marginal prospects (Will Riley, Tre Johnson, etc.) might not see enough opportunity for fantasy impact.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
0:31 Washington Wizards fantasy questions
2:06 Projected starting five breakdown
5:38 Trae Young value and outlook
7:43 Anthony Davis: risk, rankings, and draft value
13:01 Alex Sarr: expectations and draft range
15:33 AJ Dybantsa overhype and fantasy fit
18:12 Kyshawn George analysis
20:17 Bench rotation and opportunity
22:15 Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, and deep cuts
24:03 Will Riley and backend options
25:37 Deandre Ayton and bigs
27:28 Late targets, fades, and stashes
28:32 Wizards injury updates and schedule
29:31 Closing thoughts and next preview tease

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OVERVIEW
Utah Jazz players are no longer red-flagged for tanking risk in fantasy basketball, but their new-look rotation and depth—especially at center—create important questions about draft values and role uncertainty. This episode breaks down which Jazz players are being overlooked, who to fade at current ADP, and why minutes and usage will shift for names like Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr., Keyonte George, and top rookie Darryn Peterson. I analyze what matters for your category and points leagues, with clear guidance on sleepers, busts, and stash candidates.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Utah is trying to win this season, so "tanking risk" downgrades for Jazz players are no longer justified, even for big names like Lauri Markkanen or Jaren Jackson Jr.
Lauri Markkanen’s ADP (especially ESPN’s 55) is depressed far too low—he’s still a strong third-round fantasy pick, but expect some usage dip with new teammates.
Jaren Jackson Jr. is being overlooked at his current price (as low as pick 85 on ESPN); while he’s unlikely to repeat his peak block rate, there’s upside if he gets more minutes without Walker Kessler.
Keyonte George should remain the clear starting point guard and produce in the 40–55 overall range, despite skepticism around his efficiency or the arrival of new offensive pieces.
Darryn Peterson is a fine late flyer, but I’m out if the price creeps toward the top 100—he’ll struggle for usage as a rookie and may not be season-long rosterable.
Jackson Hayes will start at center while Jusuf Nurkic is out, but isn’t a must-draft; he’s best used as a streaming option for short-term blocks and FG%, with no guarantee of sustained minutes.
Jusuf Nurkic, if you have a deep enough bench or IL, is a stash candidate—but his return timeline and role are both highly uncertain and less appealing after injury.
Ace Bailey, Brice Sensabaugh, and Kyle Filipowski are all being overdrafted based on last season’s tank-time numbers—their roles are marginal now, making them only speculative late picks in deep leagues.

CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
0:32 Utah Jazz: Trying to Win and Rotation Questions
3:39 Impact of Center Injuries and Defense
5:01 Projected Starting Lineup and Value Shifts
6:32 Lauri Markkanen: Usage, Ranks, and ADP
7:05 Jaren Jackson Jr.: Block Rate, Rebounds, and Price
12:04 Keyonte George: Starter Role & Projections
13:52 Jackson Hayes and Streamer Center Options
14:31 Darren Peterson: Rookie Value Range
16:19 Main Bench Rotation and Risks
17:10 Jusuf Nurkic: Injury, Stash, and Role Uncertainty
19:29 Bench Wings: Ace Bailey, Sensabaugh, Filipowski
24:01 Best Targets, Biggest Fades, and Stash Discussion
24:55 Injury Updates: Nurkic and Filipowski
25:35 Utah Jazz Schedule & Final Thoughts

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Today's episode is brought to you by Kalshi. For a limited time, Download Kalshi and use code Locked On to get $25 when you trade $25. Kalshi. Trade what’s next.
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Visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/LOCKEDONNBA and use code LOCKEDONNBA and get $150 if you win your first $5 lineup!

Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.
FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

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OVERVIEW
Fantasy basketball managers face tough calls with the Toronto Raptors this season, especially sorting through inflated draft prices and changing roles after roster moves. I break down where the biggest risk and value points lie—particularly for Scottie Barnes, Kawhi Leonard, and the overhyped and overlooked bench options—while giving actionable guidance on who to draft, avoid, or stash based on specific league formats.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Scottie Barnes' ADP is trending into the first round on multiple platforms, but his usage and overall fantasy output are likely to take a hit with Kawhi Leonard joining the team. Drafting Barnes in the first round is risky unless you’re comfortable with some downside.
Kawhi Leonard delivers elite per-game fantasy value, yet his extended injury history and likely game management (especially back-to-back rests) cap his upside in head-to-head leagues. I won't draft him before pick 40 in daily H2H, but he's a safer target in roto leagues where a games cap applies.
Immanuel Quickley’s fantasy outlook takes a hit with more ball-handling going to Barnes and Leonard; expect him to shift toward a spot-up role and see declines in assists and overall production compared to last season.
Jakob Poeltl is being fundamentally undervalued in drafts after last year’s injury-plagued campaign. With reports of full health, he should beat last year’s rank if given only a modest minute and block increase.
RJ Barrett benefits most in points leagues due to his shot volume, but his category league value is shaky and likely declines with Leonard in the lineup. He’s not worth a pick in the top 120 for category leagues.
Collin Murray-Boyles is one of the strongest bench targets and a top-100 upside pick, with a legitimate shot at closing minutes thanks to versatility and defensive impact. His draft stock is justified even in the eighth or ninth round.
Ja'Kobi Walter and Jamal Shead are key watch-list or deep-league names. Walter gets a boost if any starter is out, while Shedd could become a strong assists/steals streamer or direct swap for Quickley if injury strikes.

CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
0:35 Raptors’ big question: Kawhi’s impact on fantasy
3:38 Scottie Barnes analysis and draft warning
6:10 Kawhi Leonard risk assessment and draft range
12:06 Immanuel Quickley fantasy outlook
14:03 Jakob Poeltl: last year’s miss, this year’s value
17:19 RJ Barrett — points vs categories
21:05 Key bench and sleeper breakdown: Murray-Boyles, Walter, Shedd
28:04 Deep bench, rookies, and team depth concerns
30:02 Best targets, fades, stashes
30:43 Injury updates and games missed risk
31:26 Raptors schedule and playoff planning
32:11 Final thoughts

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KALSHI
Today's episode is brought to you by Kalshi. For a limited time, Download Kalshi and use code Locked On to get $25 when you trade $25. Kalshi. Trade what’s next.
PrizePicks
Visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/LOCKEDONNBA and use code LOCKEDONNBA and get $150 if you win your first $5 lineup!

Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.
FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

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OVERVIEW
This episode is your ultimate fantasy basketball draft guide: I lay out my top player ranks, break down my favorite and least favorite draft targets, and cover draft-day strategy so you can confidently approach any league format. Expect direct advice on handling injured players, exploiting value, and maximizing your fun and upside late in drafts.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Nikola Jokic, Victor Wembanyama, Luka Dončić, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are my clear top four fantasy basketball picks regardless of format. It’s hard to go wrong with any order within this group.
Don’t overthink “pairings” or “builds” in early rounds—just take the best player available. You can make just about any combination work, and the rest of your core comes together in rounds 5–8.
Draft for upside first—grab players who have a real chance to beat their draft slot substantially. If no one jumps out, settle for the safer, high-floor option.
Fade players with preseason injuries or heavy injury risk (like Joel Embiid, Kawhi Leonard, and Brandon Ingram) far past their ranked value. Most are being drafted too early compared to the likely missed games and re-injury risk.
My favorite values across all formats at current ADP are Darius Garland, Dyson Daniels, Paul George, Milk Jerome, and Jeremiah Fears—each is priced below realistic upside or expected opportunity.
Avoid at current ADP: Donovan Mitchell (declining situation), Mikal Bridges (fantasy production has cratered despite durability), Josh Hart (boring, limited upside at his price), and highly-drafted rookies like AJ Dybantsa without established fantasy floors.
Late-round flyers should be all about upside and opportunity—consider names like Adae Mara, Kaman Malwach, Yaxel Lendeborg, Kevin Porter Jr., Rui Hachimura, and Darius Acuff, especially if their roles expand early.
Preseason standouts like Keishaun George, Lennon Miller, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Franz Wagner, Collin Murray-Boyles, and Da'Ron Sharpe may be worth aggressive drafting depending on your league size and risk tolerance.
RESOURCES
Must-draft lists, sleepers, busts, and mock drafts can be found on previous Locked On Fantasy Basketball episodes.
NEXT STEP
Apply these draft strategies and value targets to your upcoming fantasy basketball drafts for the best shot at both upside and fun.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
0:35 Fantasy draft overview and top 9 rankings
3:31 Draft-day strategy and philosophy
6:07 Injured player approach
12:08 Players I’m targeting at ADP
19:57 Players I’m fading at ADP
24:33 Late-round flyer picks
29:21 Preseason standouts with breakout potential
32:54 Quick-hit cheat sheet and closing thoughts

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Indeed
Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast.

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This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Sign up and get 10% off at https://BetterHelp.com/LOCKEDONNBA.

KALSHI
Today's episode is brought to you by Kalshi. For a limited time, Download Kalshi and use code Locked On to get $25 when you trade $25. Kalshi. Trade what’s next.
PrizePicks
Visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/LOCKEDONNBA and use code LOCKEDONNBA and get $150 if you win your first $5 lineup!

Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.
FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

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OVERVIEW
Sacramento Kings players bring significant fantasy basketball uncertainty, forcing tough draft decisions about Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and the rookies. I break down how the team’s chaotic roster, questionable management decisions, and role ambiguity affect fantasy value, identifying spots where you can find upside or should proceed with caution in both points and category leagues.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Domantas Sabonis’s fit and role are clouded by the Kings’ unstable rotations and the addition of Ben Simmons, making him riskier than his ESPN ADP of 19 suggests, but still offering top-25 upside in the right situation.
Zach LaVine is a value pick in the 90–100 range, given his efficiency and scoring even in bad scenarios last year; concerns about his assists persist, but workload and age are not major worries.
Keegan Murray’s defensive stats from last year are unlikely to sustain, especially with Ben Simmons playing; his shooting regression also limits upside, but he’s worth a late top-100 flyer if usage bumps up.
Darius Acuff Jr. profiles as a flyer only: rookie guards are almost always inconsistent and inefficient, yet his extremely high preseason usage makes him an intriguing gamble in the late rounds.
Ben Simmons is a deep category-league target only if you need rebounds and assists, expecting “the 6-6-6 line”; he brings defensive support but very low usage and health risk.
Maxime Raynaud is strictly a stash and only in weekly, deep leagues, since even as a 30-minute starter last season he was just a back-end value; he has no clear path to relevant minutes barring a Sabonis trade or injury.
DeAndre Hunter and Precious Achiuwa shouldn’t be drafted outside of the deepest formats; Hunter’s ADP around 91 is inexplicable given his empty lines, and Achiuwa’s value evaporates once healthy bodies return.
Fantasy managers must monitor the Kings’ rotation chaos closely and avoid over-investing in highly uncertain situations.

CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
0:32 Sacramento Kings’ big questions
5:11 Projected starting five and role analysis
13:34 Keegan Murray and Darius Acuff Jr. breakdown
17:51 Ben Simmons outlook
20:01 Bench and stash options
26:37 End-of-bench names and deep league flyers
28:38 Injuries and schedule impacts
30:26 Final remarks


Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!
Indeed
Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast.

Betterhelp
This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Sign up and get 10% off at https://BetterHelp.com/LOCKEDONNBA.

KALSHI
Today's episode is brought to you by Kalshi. For a limited time, Download Kalshi and use code Locked On to get $25 when you trade $25. Kalshi. Trade what’s next.
PrizePicks
Visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/LOCKEDONNBA and use code LOCKEDONNBA and get $150 if you win your first $5 lineup!

Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.
FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

Visit Josh Lloyd Fantasy for more

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.