Truist Championship at Philadelphia Cricket Club
Will Doctor gets you ready for this weeks big golf event. Will goes through the odds board and offers up plenty of picks for this weeks signature PGA Tour event. Follow Will Doctor for the sharpest picks and best inside golf
🔑 Key Points
📌 Signature Event Critique: Will calls for expanding signature fields from 70 to 120 players and reinstating Friday cuts for more competitive drama.
📌 Course Layout: Wissahickon is 7,100 yards, par 70, featuring 118 bunkers and nine short par 4s—precision over power is key.
📌 Scheffler Dominance: Scotty Scheffler’s 31-under win at the Nelson set a tournament and PGA scoring record, gaining over 23 strokes tee-to-green.
📌 McIlroy Watch: Skipping McIlroy at +550 due to low odds and inconsistent tee shots, despite favorable soft course conditions.
📌 Morikawa Troubles: Out on Morikawa due to poor putting, short game struggles, and recent lack of clutch scoring.
📌 Oberg Analysis: At 18-1, the Swede shows promise on bentgrass but lacks elite approach metrics, especially under 100 yards.
📌 Thomas & Cantlay Caution: JT’s poor bentgrass record and Cantlay’s short game woes raise red flags, though both have strong wedge and tee stats.
📌 Top Picks: Jordan Spieth (35-1), Sam Stevens (125-1), and Michael Thorbjornsen (165-1) backed for outrights based on recent form and course fit.
📌 Sleeper Pick: Eric Cole to top 20 at +250 based on sharp iron play, bentgrass prowess, and recent accuracy uptick.
📌 Best Bet: Andrew Novak to top 20 at +160—praised for wedge play and strong putting on bentgrass greens.
📚 Summary
[1:04–1:17] Opening Remarks – Will Doctor
Will opens the podcast introducing Week 19 at the Truist Championship with high energy and an emphasis on informed PGA picks.
[1:30–6:00] Signature Event Limitations
Will critiques the limited 70-man field, suggesting it robs fans of the excitement from Friday cuts and excludes deserving recent winners like Carl Phillips, Nico Echeverria, and Johnny Vegas.
[6:01–10:00] Scheffler Recap
Scheffler's 31-under at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson was historic. Will skipped betting on him at 3-1, but he praised Scheffler’s dominance, especially tee-to-green.
[10:01–13:00] Betting Review & Loss Summary
A 1-unit loss in Week 18 despite Jaeger (top 10 after R1) cashing at 4-1. Other bets including Cam Davis and Rosenmuller underperformed.
[13:01–17:00] Course Breakdown – Wissahickon
Course is short but tricky, with small greens and 118 bunkers. Requires precise tee placement and strong wedge play.
[17:01–26:00] Favorite Player Analysis
McIlroy: Avoiding him at +550. Course conditions help, but form inconsistency is a concern.
Morikawa: Poor putting and short game make him unreliable.
Oberg: Excellent bentgrass putter, but shaky approach stats.
Thomas: Great wedges but erratic driver and poor bentgrass history.
[26:01–35:00] Mid-Tier Contenders
Cantlay: Putting and iron play solid, but short game off—still a top-10 pick.
Schauffele: Elite approach but weak wedges and putting—passed on at 20-1.
Fleetwood: Accurate, great wedge/putter. Backed for top-10 at +188.
[35:01–42:00] Outright Picks
Jordan Spieth (35-1): Complete game peaking, strong bentgrass form.
Sam Stevens (125-1): Excellent putter, rising iron play.
Michael Thorby Olson (165-1): Three strong finishes recently, veteran caddie help.
[42:01–45:00] Sleeper & Lineups
Sleeper: Eric Cole (). Iron play and bentgrass stats impressive.
DraftKings & PGA.com Lineups: Core includes Spieth, Fleetwood, Stevens, Novak, Cole, and Thorby Olson.
[45:01–46:41] Score Prediction & Best Bet
Winning score predicted at 19-under. Best bet: Andrew Novak to top 20 at +160 for his elite wedge play and bentgrass putting.
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