The Chuck ToddCast

Chuck Todd zooms out to a global pattern: Trump-aligned right-wing leaders have now lost in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel, all on massive turnout. Lula beat Flávio Bolsonaro 51.8-48.2 in a race widely read as a test of Trump’s influence in Latin America, after Trump met with Bolsonaro and imposed tariffs over the charges against his father. Serbia’s student movement ended Aleksandar Vučić’s 14 years in power on the highest turnout in three decades. Chuck argues Trump didn’t cause these results but wasn’t irrelevant to them either — voters are rejecting a model, not just incumbents. Back home, he notes Democrats could lose both Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate, that South Carolina is becoming remarkably competitive, and that Trump’s closing message — Venezuela as the 51st state, celebrating oil industry profits, feuding with Bill Maher over an Obama Cheesecake Factory joke — is making everything worse for his party.
Finally, Chuck unloads the mailbag with an extended edition of “Ask Chuck”.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck / *Paid Partnership

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!

Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction
03:00 Trump allies lose in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel
08:00 A rejection of the right, not just anti-incumbency
12:45 What happens to Israel if Bibi is ousted
20:45 Democrats could lose Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate
24:15 South Carolina, Kansas, and the paths that are opening
28:45 Bannon’s theory about protecting moderates
33:15 Trump off-message: Venezuela, oil profits, and a missing Rubio
40:30 The Bill Maher feud and Trump’s Obama complex
48:15 DOJ strikes out against Comey and Hutchinson
50:45 $1.4 billion wagered on the midterms & the case for regulating prediction markets
1:06:15 Don’t miss our election night livestream with Chris Cillizza and DDHQ
1:06:45 Ask Chuck
1:07:00 If the GOP suffers significant losses, could they use impeachment as a reset?
1:09:00 Are Democrats going to walk back support on trans issues to appear moderate?
1:13:30 Are gaffes and comms issues more a reflection of candidates or yes-man staffers?
1:15:45 If Republicans get wiped out in midterms, what does that do to Vance’s prospects
1:20:00 If Ramaswamy wins, how should we think about our fellow citizens?
1:22:30 What’s behind the shocking bigotry and Islamophobia we’re seeing from GOP?
1:31:30 How did Tim Russert influence your career?
1:37:30 How will Trump’s foreign policy change after the midterms?
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Chuck Todd zooms out to a global pattern: Trump-aligned right-wing leaders have now lost in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel, all on massive turnout. Lula beat Flávio Bolsonaro 51.8-48.2 in a race widely read as a test of Trump’s influence in Latin America, after Trump met with Bolsonaro and imposed tariffs over the charges against his father. Serbia’s student movement ended Aleksandar Vučić’s 14 years in power on the highest turnout in three decades. Chuck argues Trump didn’t cause these results but wasn’t irrelevant to them either — voters are rejecting a model, not just incumbents. Back home, he notes Democrats could lose both Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate, that South Carolina is becoming remarkably competitive, and that Trump’s closing message — Venezuela as the 51st state, celebrating oil industry profits, feuding with Bill Maher over an Obama Cheesecake Factory joke — is making everything worse for his party.
Then, Seth Bodnar — Green Beret, former GE executive, and former University of Montana president now running for Senate as an independent — joins the Chuck ToddCast a week out. He’s assembled a genuinely strange coalition: Pete Buttigieg endorsed him over the Democratic nominee, and both sides of Montana’s 1992 governor’s race, Republican Marc Racicot and Democrat Dorothy Bradley, are backing him. Bodnar’s military background drives his sharpest material — he argues Hegseth politicizing the military would have dire consequences, and that senior officers are now resigning rather than carry out unlawful orders, facing a brutal choice between staying to mitigate harm or leaving in protest. He says he won’t organize with either party, argues half of Senate votes are procedural and an independent can force real debate, and makes the case that one-party dominance in any state is unhealthy. Plus affordability, universal coverage, and whether Montana moves up to FBS.
Finally, Chuck unloads the mailbag with an extended edition of “Ask Chuck”.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck / *Paid Partnership

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!


Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction
03:00 Trump allies lose in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel
08:00 A rejection of the right, not just anti-incumbency
12:45 What happens to Israel if Bibi is ousted
20:45 Democrats could lose Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate
24:15 South Carolina, Kansas, and the paths that are opening
28:45 Bannon’s theory about protecting moderates
33:15 Trump off-message: Venezuela, oil profits, and a missing Rubio
40:30 The Bill Maher feud and Trump’s Obama complex
48:15 DOJ strikes out against Comey and Hutchinson
50:45 $1.4 billion wagered on the midterms & the case for regulating prediction markets
1:08:15 Seth Bodnar joins the Chuck ToddCast
1:09:45 Regrets about running as an independent, and endorsements from both sides
1:12:45 Hegseth, politicizing the military, and officers resigning over unlawful orders
1:17:00 Should Congress subpoena senior military leaders?
1:20:30 What can actually be done on affordability
1:23:00 Corporate concentration, antitrust, and the housing crunch
1:28:00 Would either party talk him into caucusing?
1:32:45 Rural America, the Bankhead question, and where the polls stand
1:40:15 Reagan, Putin, and the danger of unchecked one-party rule
1:43:00 Universal coverage and what Medicaid means in Montana
1:46:45 Education, AI literacy, and critical thinking
1:53:45 FBS, collective bargaining, and the future of college football
2:05:30 Don’t miss our election night livestream with Chris Cillizza and DDHQ
2:06:00 Ask Chuck
2:06:15 If the GOP suffers significant losses, could they use impeachment as a reset?
2:08:15 Are Democrats going to walk back support on trans issues to appear moderate?
2:12:45 Are gaffes and comms issues more a reflection of candidates or yes-man staffers?
2:15:00 If Republicans get wiped out in midterms, what does that do to Vance’s prospects
2:19:15 If Ramaswamy wins, how should we think about our fellow citizens?
2:21:45 What’s behind the shocking bigotry and Islamophobia we’re seeing from GOP?
2:30:45 How did Tim Russert influence your career?
2:36:45 How will Trump’s foreign policy change after the midterms?
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Seth Bodnar — Green Beret, former GE executive, and former University of Montana president now running for Senate as an independent — joins the Chuck ToddCast a week out. He’s assembled a genuinely strange coalition: Pete Buttigieg endorsed him over the Democratic nominee, and both sides of Montana’s 1992 governor’s race, Republican Marc Racicot and Democrat Dorothy Bradley, are backing him. Bodnar’s military background drives his sharpest material — he argues Hegseth politicizing the military would have dire consequences, and that senior officers are now resigning rather than carry out unlawful orders, facing a brutal choice between staying to mitigate harm or leaving in protest. He says he won’t organize with either party, argues half of Senate votes are procedural and an independent can force real debate, and makes the case that one-party dominance in any state is unhealthy. Plus affordability, universal coverage, and whether Montana moves up to FBS.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck / *Paid Partnership

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!

Timeline:
00:00 Seth Bodnar joins the Chuck ToddCast
01:30 Regrets about running as an independent, and endorsements from both sides
04:30 Hegseth, politicizing the military, and officers resigning over unlawful orders
08:45 Should Congress subpoena senior military leaders?
12:15 What can actually be done on affordability
14:45 Corporate concentration, antitrust, and the housing crunch
19:45 Would either party talk him into caucusing?
24:30 Rural America, the Bankhead question, and where the polls stand
32:00 Reagan, Putin, and the danger of unchecked one-party rule
34:45 Universal coverage and what Medicaid means in Montana
38:30 Education, AI literacy, and critical thinking
45:30 FBS, collective bargaining, and the future of college football
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Chuck Todd and J.A. Adande explore how the Buckeyes became a college football powerhouse and the complicated legacy of legendary coach Woody Hayes.
From the historic Michigan rivalry and the infamous Snow Bowl to Hayes' coaching philosophy, controversial temper, and lasting influence, they uncover the people and moments that built Ohio State's football dynasty.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

One week out, Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza go hunting for the counterfactual — the actual data that would tell a Republican this election isn’t what it looks like — and come back with exactly one: a polling error. “That’s a hell of a thing to bank on.” Chuck argues this is the worst version of Trump we’ve ever seen in an election year, a candidate reduced to the Nobel committee and calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” in Michigan, while his own top economic adviser went on Fox Business to call the affordability crisis a myth eight days out. Plus: why Democrats may run better in red states than blue, how Republicans sat on their money until it was too late to define Talarico, how Ohio got away entirely, what the Ramaswamy ad says about where the line is, and the new Times/Siena 2028 numbers. Plus their election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ.
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Timeline:
00:00 One week out: what could still change this, and the red-state theory
07:00 The worst version of Trump, and a party that won’t say “affordability”
13:00 Hunting for the counterfactual, and why every Republican ad is nostalgia
19:00 The money came too late: how they let Talarico define Paxton
24:00 Kalshi: Iowa, Maine and Kansas as the three most divided markets
30:00 Where the line is on the Ramaswamy ad, and building a firewall
36:00 Adding states to the 2028 map, and Minnesota’s outlier year
44:00 Times/Siena 2028: Harris at 12, Vance at 33, and a wide-open field
52:00 “All the Projection”: the election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ
58:00 The World Series, the sports equinox, and a two-Hurricane Heisman problem
1:05:00 Newsphere, one more show on Election Day, and sign-off
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.