The Mike Hosking Breakfast

Outgoing National MP Nicola Willis says tomorrow will be her “last hurrah” with her colleagues.
The former Finance Minister lost her seat in Parliament on Saturday after National’s number of electorate wins left no room for list MPs to get any seats.
She told Newstalk ZB’s Mike Hosking Breakfast that tomorrow will be her last caucus meeting with the National Party.
"That’ll be my last hurrah with my colleagues and I’m sure (it) will be filled with emotion.”
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Monday the 9th of November, the senior party leaders give their verdict - David Seymour, Shane Jones and Qiulae Wong speak.
Chris Luxon details what will happen over the next three weeks and whether he will be picking up the phone to Opportunity.
The Commentary Box boys are back! Andrew Saville and Jason Pine talk the F1, All Blacks, Kiwis and Phoenix.
Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Obviously we will work through the machinations later but lets just run through the winners and losers of the night.
The winners:
1) Opportunity
5% is hard and they did it, just. It’s a big victory and a slick campaign. I hope they are smart enough to ease in, don’t go mad, learn the ropes and be there for a good crack in 2029.
2) The pollsters
Yes there were some ropey numbers, but overall by the end of the night they were more right than wrong. They should be pleased.
3) Act
They increased their presence in Parliament, survived and thrived in our first true MMP Government.
4) NZ First
Ditto. We need to move past the idea that small players can't grow, and in growing they inevitably take votes off their major partners. Why was that a surprise to so many?
5) National
Because their electorate MP's saved the day. 42 seats is an amazing result, hence the overhang.
6) The split vote campaign
If you look at the party vote in any given electorate for National, and the electorate vote for the local MP, it's night and day. Hundreds of thousands of votes went to the MP, not the party.
7) The Maori Party
Given what they did to themselves, five seats is more than most of us would have thought. It must have been devastating for Labour.
The losers:
8) Labour
Their path remains this morning as hard, if not harder, than it was all campaign. A lot needed to go their way and chances are it hasn’t.
9) The Greens
They should be happy but they aren't, because they're not likely part of a Government. But they also believed the polls and at 16%+ the polls were never real.
10 Nicola Willis, Paul Goldsmith, Chris Bishop
In an unusual election three very experienced heavyweights watch their party most likely head back to the Beehive without them. It's one thing to lose your job when your party loses the election, but that hasn’t happened. It's pretty much a first.
11) Turnout
Still not too sure. At 700,000 estimated specials it looked like a massive turnout, but there are only 400,000. If you take that as a percentage it may be the turnout wasn’t anything big at all.
12) MMP
Not sure if it’s a winner or not. Big Parliament, big overhang. In 30 years we are still discovering the vagaries of a system we voted twice for and yet too many still don’t get it.
Democracy aye? What a ride.
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Andrew Saville and Jason Pine join Mike Hosking to review the Weekends' sport.
On the table today: Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix were deadlocked in a 0-0 draw at Mount Smart.
The All Blacks defeated Scotland, keeping them from scoring any points in the second half.
And Liam Lawson finished 8th at the Brazilian Grand Prix.
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Potential kingmaker's the Opportunity Party has had phone calls but only from one side of the aisle.
Leader Qiulae Wong says she's had a couple of calls from Labour Leader Chris Hipkins and Greens co-leader Chloe Swarbrick.
She's heard nothing from the right wing parties including National.
But Wong told Mike Hosking she doesn't blame them, as they're probably taking stock of their situation.
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