The Mike Hosking Breakfast

At the end of each week, Mike Hosking takes you through the big-ticket items and lets you know what he makes of it all.

Pakistan: 6/10
Mystery of the week. Did they host talks? Were there any talks? What's the talks v BS ratio?

Oil: 7/10
Specifically, the Government's handling. Tickets, swaps, deals, and unsolicited offers – this looks and feels like it's in the hands of adults.

Labour and India: 3/10
This is why we can be grateful they are not in office for the war. They do little but stall and carp. The day you are against free trade you are basically not a New Zealander.

Booze: 7/10
Nice one Kieran, as the kid from the Wairarapa brings the modern world to Easter.

Allbirds: 3/10
It’s a sad story of a dream that was destined for a troubled end. Shoes are about fashion, not feels, and style, not vibes. Only a very small percentage of people are ever prepared to look rude while saving the planet.

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It’s a bit early given it's a short week, but at four and a half-ish weeks into Operation Epic Fury, there's a reason to be depressed and a reason to be hopeful.
To the bad news first.
This hasn’t been a great week for the Americans. They have been left with talks that may or may not be happening and a lot of rhetoric that sounds like last week's rhetoric – "we've won", "there is nothing left", and "we could leave anytime".
Except, the missiles that fall on Israel seem to indicate that for a place that have been bombed to flatness, they keep finding things to fire and that’s before you got to the hacking of Kash Patel's phone, which was just plain embarrassing.
Trump's demeanour didn’t help either. A winner doesn’t whine and man has he whined a lot this week, to the point it appears he will end the war, as predicted, but has worked up a narrative that allows him to avoid the small issue of the Strait of Hormuz.
Which is of course why he is whining. He's cocked it up.
One way or another, the fact that they didn’t see the Gulf states being hit and didn’t see a waterway being used as ransom will go down in US military history as yet another interventionist cock-up.
The new timeline is a bit of a worry. 2-3 weeks fits in with the 4-6 timeline, roughly. The trouble though, if you follow Trump, is that he uses the "2-3 weeks" line a lot, on a lot of different things that, as it turns out, don’t take 2-3 weeks – almost as though he makes it up as he goes along.
Also not great is Netanyahu, who claimed they were a bit over halfway as far as targets go, which is not 2-3 weeks, given it's been almost five.
But to the good news – the Iranian President has said they will stop if they get a guarantee they are not attacked again. And this is part of the exit strategy.
A bit of back and forward, nuclear material cleared, regime largely gone, some sort of rebuild, money sorted, and it's kind of got a Gaza 2.0 vibe about it.
And then of course 2pm this afternoon is the address to the world. "An important update". Does that have the makings of the end? Let's see.
But the driving forces are the driving forces that have been at play all along – petrol in America costs too much, the cost of living is up, hiring is down, recession fears are up and the midterms are coming.
As we said last week, Trump might be mad but on the political survival front self-interest is a finely honed skill of his.
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Easter is cutting this week short, so Kate Hawkesby and Tim Wilson joined Mike Hosking today to Wrap the Week that Was.
They discussed 75 Hard, the collapse of Allbirds, and what Kate’s been drinking recently.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Thursday 2nd of April, former US Navy Senior Chief Malcolm Nance delves into Operation Epic Fury so far.
Damien O'Connor outlines Labour's specific issues with the India Free Trade Agreement and gives his thoughts on if they'll get over the line.
Kate Hawkesby and Tim Wilson talk 75 Hard, Kate drinking Baileys, and the collapse of Allbirds as they Wrap the short Week.
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Questions around Indian students and family of visa holders are still roadblocks to Labour supporting a trade deal with India.
New Zealand First's left its coalition partners in the lurch, rendering them dependent on Labour to ratify the agreement.
But leader Chris Hipkins says there's a mismatch between how the deal's been presented and what the text actually contains.
Damien O’Connor, the party’s Trade Spokesperson, told Mike Hosking trade agreements don’t typically include guaranteed work permits, but this one does.
He says that Winston Peters stirred up concerns the deal will result in New Zealand being flooded with migrants, and while that’s not the reality, they had to ask questions about the provisions and safeguards for that.
O’Connor says they don’t want thousands of students and workers coming into New Zealand and being exploited.
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