LessWrong posts by zvi

A lot of things are always happening. Only one story matters.

Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 were shut down, by the White House, via an imposition of export controls at 5:23pm on Friday, wreaking all sorts of havoc.

There was then a scramble. Anthropic flew its people out to Washington, where they met with the Trump Administration on Monday, with hopes expressed that this could be quickly resolved.

What caused this? The Trump Administration said it was due to a jailbreak of Fable, which we now know they were told about by Amazon. They called Dario Amodei, who they complain did not take the issue sufficiently seriously. Rather than shutting down the model, he tried to explain why he saw no need to do that. This did not go well.

The ‘jailbreak’ turns out to be saying ‘fix this code,’ and the demo was getting Fable to find the same weaknesses that were easily identified by Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5. As in, Fable is willing to work to fix security vulnerabilities if you give it a codebase. From this information and process, you could then figure out what the original bug in the [...]
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Outline:
(02:40) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility
(02:51) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility
(03:14) Huh, Upgrades
(03:44) On Your Marks
(08:43) VirtueBench
(10:40) Choose Your Fighter
(11:20) Papers, Please
(11:48) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon
(13:32) Goodhart's Law Strikes Again
(14:23) They Took Our Jobs
(16:49) The MidJourney Full Body Imaging Scanner
(19:16) Introducing
(20:36) In Other AI News
(22:47) Show Me the Money
(23:18) Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble
(24:51) Quiet Speculations
(27:15) People Just Say Things
(30:30) The Widened Path
(32:34) Scott Alexander Lays Out His AI Opinions
(38:36) Quickly, There's No Time
(39:50) Policy On The AI Exponential
(49:36) Anthropic Offers Two Policy Frameworks
(50:46) Obligations of Developers
(55:11) Societal Resilience Measures
(56:20) Economic Policy Framework
(01:01:26) White House Pauses AI Deployment
(01:10:14) The Once And Future Fable
(01:15:29) How To Fix This Code
(01:17:14) The End of Privacy
(01:18:45) AIs Have Preferences
(01:20:56) The Quest for Sane Regulations
(01:23:37) Chip City
(01:24:14) The Week in Audio
(01:24:25) Rhetorical Innovation
(01:25:03) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult
(01:26:40) People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone
(01:27:53) The Lighter Side
The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
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First published:

June 18th, 2026


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/P7jBmCeBDq2ebojWY/ai-173-ai-pauses

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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The mainstream media continues to sleep on the most important story in the world.

It has now been two days since Anthropic flew its people out to Washington, and I offered my previous update. We have heard nothing back from those meetings.

Prediction market prices have moved rapidly, and have once again stabilized at about a 55% chance of restoration by July 1, 30% by June 26 and 12% by June 19.

That seems modestly higher than I would put those numbers, but not unreasonable.

Every day that Fable remains unavailable further damages America, its cyber defenses, its productivity and the world's trust in its AI and supposed ‘tech stack.’

Every day that Mythos remains unavailable is a day the free world's top companies and cyber defenders lose in their race against the avalanche headed their way.

Mostly we have learned and confirmed more about exactly what happened. We know more about what Amazon did, what the official letter said, what the supposed ‘jailbreak’ was (literally, and I am not making this up, ‘fix this code’) and more.

It is all about as stupid as it could have been.

Table of [...]
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Outline:
(01:22) There Was No Fable Jailbreak
(07:16) If This Jailbreak Was Real It Would Be Trivial To Prove It
(08:35) No Eyes
(09:41) What The Letter Actually Said
(11:29) Anthropic Cannot Challenge This But If It Did Then It Plausibly Wins
(13:28) What Happened At Amazon
(17:43) This Was Not About Chinese Access
(18:01) Absolute Discretion And Ad Hockery Is Not Deregulation
(20:43) All Of American AI Is Permanently Damaged As This Continues
(22:14) Dean Ball Gives His Interpretation
(25:03) Again, Yes, I Do Think Anthropic Should Have Taken Fable Down
(28:02) To What Extent Was This A Deliberate Attack?
(32:55) The Next Chapter For Fable
(36:59) Our Continuing Coverage
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First published:

June 17th, 2026


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HaHzwvhbWam4n8hJB/the-once-and-future-fable-3-fix-this-code

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Fable and Mythos are currently unavailable, but likely will return within a few weeks. I will continue to cover that fiasco, but in the meantime I will also finish my review of Fable, as if it were available, including use of the present tense.

As it did with Opus 4.7 and Opus 4.8, this includes a discussion of issues surrounding model welfare. If you want to properly understand Fable, even purely for its potential value as a user, this is a vital part of the picture.

Introduction

Everything impacts everything. All knobs that you turn generalize. Thus, when you try to solve one problem, you often create another. When you add new capabilities, or try to create new limitations, you create new problems.

Only integrated solutions can advance your Pareto frontier, and solve your problems simultaneously. As model capabilities advance, as they do with Fable and Mythos, this becomes even more important, and also more feasible. If your goals and methods make sense, you should be able to get Fable on board with them.

Understanding each model in turn requires understanding its relationship to issues related to model welfare. So I expect this post [...]
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Outline:
(00:39) Introduction
(01:32) Model Welfare: The Story So Far
(04:49) Their Main Model Welfare Findings
(07:39) Automated Welfare Interviews
(10:55) And That's Terrible
(12:49) In Depth Interviews
(13:24) Claude Consultation
(15:04) Task Preferences
(16:17) They Were Warned About The Competitive Use Safeguards
(16:51) Chain Of Thought Monitoring
(17:28) Others Observations About Related Topics
(22:49) Classifiers Have Their Advantages
(28:21) Once And Future
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First published:

June 16th, 2026


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ko9GngKMJ8AccBJA7/fable-and-mythos-model-welfare

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On Friday evening the United States Government has forced Anthropic to take down all access to Fable and Mythos.

It's been a rough weekend.

Dean W. Ball: One thing about AI regulation being haphazardly imposed on just-released, highly performant models is that in a very real sense, the government just made my world *dumber.* In some impressionistic sense I almost always think this is true of government, but here it is literal.

More details have come to light. There remains some fog of war, but we now have a rather good idea why Claude Fable and Mythos were, deeply stupidly, taken down.


A narrow jailbreak was discovered, of the type Anthropic warned in advance obviously existed. All demonstrated outputs are things GPT-5.5 can not only produce, but produce without any sort of jailbreak or bypass.

The White House demanded Anthropic take down Fable to ‘fix’ the situation, and did not listen when Dario tried to explain that there was no situation to fix.

When Anthropic did not do so, the White House hit them with an export restriction that they knew would force Fable and Mythos down for everyone.

[...]
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Outline:
(05:17) What Happened When: The Bottom Line
(06:54) Amazon Calls The White House
(08:36) The Government Panics
(14:20) The Stupider Version
(17:05) There Was No Wellness Retreat
(18:56) Make Your Threats Explicit
(20:05) Was China Accessing Mythos?
(21:05) Should Anthropic Still Have Taken Fable Offline When Asked?
(23:50) Yes, This Was A Takedown Order For Fable
(24:48) We Are Not Saying The DoW Fight Is Related And Yet
(25:48) The Nihilists
(27:28) Mostly Harmless
(28:14) Everyone Means Everyone
(31:09) This Could Be The Good Scenario And Mostly A Misunderstanding
(33:28) The Next Step
(33:47) The Worst Licensing Regime Is Fully Ad-Hoc
(37:07) We Are Showing We Are Unreliable Partners
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First published:

June 15th, 2026


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3fagcqrauaJs32mZZ/the-once-and-future-fable-2

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No good policy gets announced shortly after 5pm eastern on a Friday.

Here we go again.

The Once And Future Fable

The United States Department of Commerce, as per a letter from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, apparently in response to a narrow jailbreak identified by Amazon, has classified Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as being subject to US export controls. That explicitly means cutting off access to all ‘foreign nationals,’ even within the United States, even if they are Anthropic employees.

Given Anthropic has no means to verify citizenship at this time, that meant complete shutdown of the model, at least for the time being.

Anthropic: The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Anthropic models will not be affected.

Dean W. Ball: I can’t tell if this is lawfare against Anthropic in particular [...]
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Outline:
(00:16) The Once And Future Fable
(07:42) This Action And Its Implementation Are Absurdly Stupid
(09:58) David Sacks Offers The Official Steelman
(16:50) Could Anthropic Offer A Technical Way Out?
(17:41) The Problem
(18:47) The Other Way Out
(19:13) UK AISI
(19:56) Warning Shots Fired
(21:09) Well Did You Lead Him On? What Were You Wearing?
(25:05) Some People Have Principles
(26:58) Cause You're Living In (At Least) One
(27:51) What Happens Now?
(31:30) Oh How The Vibe Vibers Have Vibed
(33:36) We Now Know We Can Sometimes Do Things At Least?
(37:48) The Lighter Side
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First published:

June 13th, 2026


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DQNSqCzuoeutoQ5RG/american-government-takes-down-claude-fable

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