After being down 18.9 per cent from its recent peak, the S&P 500 index in the US has recovered and is now back in positive territory year-to-date. Interestingly, drawdowns of that magnitude aren't nearly as rare as you might think, and nor are the rebounds. Volatility is the rule, rather than the exception. Get used to it.
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5:47
ep 267 | The week ahead - Shares surge while the Budget looms
It was a strong week global sharemarkets, with a 90-day trade truce between the US and China setting the positive tone early on. The S&P 500 in the US surged 5.3%, which saw it storm back into positive territory for the year and finish just 3.0% below its record high from February (having been down 18.9% from those levels at one point!). What do investors need to keep an eye out for next?
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13:20
ep 266 | Has the tariff truce turned the tide?
After two days of discussions over the weekend, the US and China agreed to a 90-day tariff truce. This was a bigger announcement than markets were expecting, and it substantially diminishes the risk of a full-blown trade war. What does this mean for the outlook, investors and the balance of the year?
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5:56
ep 265 | The week ahead - NZX 50 on track for its best month in five years
This week we'll be watching economic indicators for signs of any impact from the tariff announcements in early April, with US inflation and retail sales of particular interest. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is speaking on Thursday inWashington, D.C. and markets will be monitoring the outcome of trade talks between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland.
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14:55
ep 264 | If there's a US recession, which stocks will hold up best?
There has been increasing talk of a US recession in recent weeks, with one major global bank suggesting the odds of this are 60 per cent. It’s certainly possible if harsh tariffs remain in place, although the outlook could brighten quickly if we see a de-escalation. Which stocks will hold up best in a recession, and what can we learn from previous downturns?
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