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On Point

Craigs Investment Partners

Business Investing

Latest episode

375 episodes

ep 378 | The week ahead - It's OCR week! Will the RBNZ hike or hold?
04/07/2026 | 12 mins.
It'll be a holiday-shortened week here in New Zealand, with markets closed for the Matariki holiday on Friday. The clear highlight will be the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decision on Wednesday, which is shaping up as a very interesting one. Market pricing implies a 76% chance of a hike, although oil prices have fallen back to well below the base case presented by the RBNZ in May, and inflation indicators in last week's ANZ Business Outlook survey were much softer as well.
ep 377 | How is the second half of 2026 shaping up?
30/06/2026 | 11 mins.
The first six months of the calendar year were volatile, punctuated by the conflict in Iran. Despite that, markets have performed very well. What might the second half bring, and does the recent retrenchment in oil prices clear the way for more strong gains?
ep 376 | The week ahead - Oil prices crash as the Strait of Hormuz reopens
27/06/2026 | 12 mins.
Oil prices fell 10% on the back of hopes for a sustained resolution in the Middle East grew. That saw US crude finish the week just below US$70, almost 40% below last month’s peak and the lowest since late February. Are we out of the woods when it comes to inflation and rising interest rate risk?
ep 375 | Deals and dots mean changes for central banks
22/06/2026 | 6 mins.
A few different balls are up in the air across the central banking world, and change is afoot. Recent declines in oil prices have seen the odds of OCR hikes change, while the Federal Reserve in the US has entered a new era with Kevin Warsh as Chair. We’ll get a useful sense check in a fortnight from the Reserve Bank, while the evolution of the Fed will be a longer-term theme to monitor.
ep 374 | Should we worry about rising government debt?
17/06/2026 | 7 mins.
Investors often ask us how worried they should be about rising government debt. It’s a very fair question, and Budget 2026 showed that New Zealand’s books remain under pressure. If you or I live beyond our means, borrow too much and can’t repay our debts, we’ll eventually run out of options. However, governments aren’t households and that’s an important distinction. How should investors think about what this means for their portfolios?

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About On Point

Stay on point with Craigs. Keep up to date with the latest developments in financial markets and the economy. Investing involves risks. You aren’t guaranteed to make money and you might lose the money you started with. Any information provided is general, current at the time and not financial advice. It doesn’t take into account your particular financial situation. We don't accept liability for results of actions taken or not taken based on information provided. Before making any investment decision we recommend you seek professional assistance from an investment adviser. Visit craigsip.com.

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