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Run the Numbers

CJ Gustafson
Run the Numbers
Latest episode

326 episodes

  • Run the Numbers

    How to Tell a Demanding Founder They’re Wrong

    27/07/2026 | 38 mins.
    On this special episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson revisits standout moments from past conversations with Alex Immerman, Curt Sigfstead, Daniel Kang, Adam Ante, and David Laptor. Together, their advice reveals how great CFOs earn trust, challenge founders, speak up when the data says something is wrong, and become true strategic partners without relying on the power of the purse strings.

    SPONSORS:
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform that lets your product team ship new pricing without asking finance for permission, and your sales team close deals without creating downstream chaos. Check out their free tool at calculator.rightrev.com It scores your rev rec process, shows what's exposing you to risk, and tells you exactly where to focus before it bites you in the rear end. Check it out at https://calculator.rightrev.com
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer cut their close in half, took audit findings from seven to zero, and cut back-office costs by 70% in six months. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered agents that capture expenses automatically, enforce policy before the spend happens, and close your books in minutes instead of weeks. 35,000+ companies like OpenAI, Coinbase, Anthropic, and DoorDash already run on Brex. It's time to get Brex AF. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    3:27 Alex Immerman's favorite CFO interview question
    4:54 What a weak answer looks like
    5:26 When the hard calls actually matter
    6:37 Walt and Roy Disney
    7:36 Liked even when making unpopular calls
    8:43 Sponsors — Anrok | RightRev | Pulley
    11:35 Curt from Clio: ego in the bottom drawer
    13:52 CFO as supporting cast
    15:10 Backbone vs. ego: when to use each
    16:23 Daniel Kang: don't use the purse strings as power
    17:36 Earn the seat, don't demand it
    18:52 Money is one arrow, not the whole quiver
    20:39 Sponsors — Rillet | Maximor | Brex
    23:54 Adam Ante: finance people pigeonhole themselves
    26:46 The CFO can sit in any meeting
    27:30 First 90 days: listen before suggesting
    28:46 David Laptor: listen, observe, think, speak
    30:50 Build a culture where speaking up is welcomed
    31:51 Curt from Clio: don't come in as a know-it-all
    33:08 Earn trust through curiosity
    33:46 Beware of all-green dashboards
    35:28 What would CJ say to Ballmer?
    37:14 Parting thoughts from Ben
    38:00 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    The Four Stages of World-Class FP&A with Datadog’s AJ Ljubich

    23/07/2026 | 57 mins.
    On this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Datadog SVP of FP&A AJ Ljubich to break down the four stages of a world-class finance team.

    SPONSORS:
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered agents that capture expenses automatically, enforce policy before the spend happens, and close your books in minutes instead of weeks. 35,000+ companies like OpenAI, Coinbase, Anthropic, and DoorDash already run on Brex. It's time to get Brex AF. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform that lets your product team ship new pricing without asking finance for permission, and your sales team close deals without creating downstream chaos. Check out their free tool at calculator.rightrev.com It scores your rev rec process, shows what's exposing you to risk, and tells you exactly where to focus before it bites you in the rear end. Check it out at https://calculator.rightrev.com
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer cut their close in half, took audit findings from seven to zero, and cut back-office costs by 70% in six months. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aj-ljubich-cfa-727ab912/
    Company: https://www.datadoghq.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    2:42 FP&A as a product team
    4:53 The five pillars of AJ's team
    6:39 How far FP&A has come
    7:33 How do you know you're doing a good job?
    10:20 FP&A as the dashboard, not the engine
    10:20 Sponsors — Brex | Anrok | RightRev
    13:18 The four-stage FP&A maturity model
    16:00 Can you reach all four stages at Series B?
    16:45 Why AJ holds weekly forecast meetings
    18:24 How often to actually change the forecast
    21:42 Sponsors — Pulley | Rillet | Maximor
    24:49 Single source of truth: still on the vision board
    26:12 AI and the self-serve data risk
    26:21 CAC payback over LTV to CAC
    29:39 Inside sales vs. enterprise payback comparison
    31:47 Finance as the yes, but people
    34:02 FP&A vs. IR: which is harder?
    36:14 How IR makes you a better FP&A leader
    37:19 Is the IR profile shifting?
    42:01 IPOs are branding events, not finish lines
    43:27 The Datadog IPO during the WeWork meltdown
    45:15 Career philosophy: do great work where you are
    49:52 Datadog didn't have a role for AJ when he started
    52:16 Lightning round
    52:24 Screwed up: forgot the currency guy
    54:37 Finance software stack
    56:16 Advice to younger self
    57:13 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    Dave McClure and Aman Verjee on Angel Investing at Scale, 500 Startups, and Practical VC

    20/07/2026 | 1h
    On this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Dave McClure and Aman Verjee of Practical VC to talk about the evolution of startup investing — from the PayPal mafia and Founders Fund era to 500 Startups, YC-style scale, and today’s secondary market.

    SPONSORS:
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer cut their close in half, took audit findings from seven to zero, and cut back-office costs by 70% in six months. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered agents that capture expenses automatically, enforce policy before the spend happens, and close your books in minutes instead of weeks. 35,000+ companies like OpenAI, Coinbase, Anthropic, and DoorDash already run on Brex. It's time to get Brex AF. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform that lets your product team ship new pricing without asking finance for permission, and your sales team close deals without creating downstream chaos. Check out their free tool at calculator.rightrev.com It scores your rev rec process, shows what's exposing you to risk, and tells you exactly where to focus before it bites you in the rear end. Check it out at https://calculator.rightrev.com
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics


    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guests:https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure/https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee/
    Company:https://practicalvc.com/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    3:00 Writing as a distribution strategy
    5:17 How Dave's blog led to Founders Fund
    7:24 Aman: writing at PayPal and law school
    9:29 PayPal: the red pen of David Sacks
    11:44 Sponsors — Rillet | Maximor | Brex
    14:59 500 Startups: the original thesis
    16:22 The volume strategy: more shots on goal
    18:44 Twilio, Lyft, Sendgrid, Credit Karma
    20:15 60x returns: right place, right time
    23:07 Sponsors — Anrok | RightRev | Pulley
    25:58 Accelerator ecosystem evolution
    28:42 500 vs. YC: scale as a weapon
    32:52 Globalizing the accelerator model
    35:04 Seed to secondaries: how it happened
    37:00 Scratching their own itch for liquidity
    38:10 The secondary market explained
    40:50 Types of secondaries
    43:29 Why would a VC sell a winner?
    46:07 Managing DPI as a late-stage manager
    47:02 The five horse framework
    49:15 Skipping the J curve
    51:44 Imperfect information as a feature
    55:22 Landmines: fraud, mismarked valuations
    57:00 VCs lie about valuations three ways
    57:58 Forward contracts and counterparty risk
    1:00:29 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    Cumberland Farms S-1 Breakdown: Fuel, Snacks, and Debt

    16/07/2026 | 36 mins.
    On this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ breaks down Cumberland Farms’ IPO filing and the surprising business behind it.

    SPONSORS:
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform that lets your product team ship new pricing without asking finance for permission, and your sales team close deals without creating downstream chaos. Check out their free tool at calculator.rightrev.com It scores your rev rec process, shows what's exposing you to risk, and tells you exactly where to focus before it bites you in the rear end. Check it out at https://calculator.rightrev.com
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer cut their close in half, took audit findings from seven to zero, and cut back-office costs by 70% in six months. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered agents that capture expenses automatically, enforce policy before the spend happens, and close your books in minutes instead of weeks. 35,000+ companies like OpenAI, Coinbase, Anthropic, and DoorDash already run on Brex. It's time to get Brex AF. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn

    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    2:57 Key metrics
    4:28 Europe now out-earns America
    5:01 $5.8B debt at 8x leverage
    6:20 TLDR: snacks, gas, borrowed money
    7:58 Fuel vs. inside: the gross profit photo finish
    8:58 COCO, CONCO, and OTHER explained
    10:57 Sponsors — Maximor | Brex | Anrok
    14:02 Why scale matters: four reasons
    16:02 The US convenience store market
    17:42 EVs: long the birth rate
    18:05 Back to the debt
    19:10 The sale leaseback
    20:24 Sponsors — RightRev | Pulley | Rillet
    23:26 Does the deleveraging math work?
    24:27 The growth thesis
    25:06 600–700 stores become Cumberland Farms
    26:16 The chicken fryer ROI
    27:00 Coffee and loyalty: 6M members in 13 months
    28:15 Red flag 1: five-for-five COSO failures
    28:41 Red flag 2: entire C-suite is new
    29:04 Red flag 3: lending to their own parent
    29:42 Red flag 4: Big Tobacco funds loyalty
    29:57 Red flag 5: foreign issuer, Cayman charter
    30:10 Red flag 6: one supplier is 31% of costs
    30:32 Red flag 7: balance sheet is stale
    30:45 Cap table: TDR Capital and the Issa brothers
    31:55 Casey's vs. ARCO
    33:47 Goldman got bumped
    34:08 Massachusetts banned the pump clip until 2015
    34:57 No health insurance disclosure for 16K US workers
    35:30 Robert Swan (ex-Intel CEO) is on the board
    36:08 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    Token Economics, AI ROI, and the Future of Investment Banking with Rahul Rekhi

    13/07/2026 | 59 mins.
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Rogo president Rahul Rekhi to unpack what AI actually changes in investment banking and finance. They dig into token economics, why adoption without ROI is a trap, how vertical AI wins, and why domain expertise still matter.

    SPONSORS:
    Pulley is an equity management platform that lets you issue options, model dilution, and complete 409As without your cap table turning into a spreadsheet disaster. Founders raising, hiring, and scaling use Pulley to keep equity clean and stay focused on building. Learn more or request a demo at https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to replace NetSuite and close faster. With revenue recognition, close management, multi-entity support, and native Stripe and Salesforce integrations, Rillet helps scaling companies run their finance stack in one place. Hundreds of teams, including Windsurf and Mercor, use Rillet to make the zero-day close real. Book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Maximor is an autonomous finance platform that runs order-to-cash, procure-to-pay, the close, cash management, and reporting on self-learning agents instead of a dozen disconnected tools. One PE-backed customer cut their close in half, took audit findings from seven to zero, and cut back-office costs by 70% in six months. You pay for outcomes, not seats. See it at https://www.maximor.ai/
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform with AI-powered agents that capture expenses automatically, enforce policy before the spend happens, and close your books in minutes instead of weeks. 35,000+ companies like OpenAI, Coinbase, Anthropic, and DoorDash already run on Brex. It's time to get Brex AF. Learn more at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Anrok is the sales tax platform that watches your exposure everywhere, automates compliance, and flags risk before it turns into a surprise back-tax letter from a state you've never set foot in. Companies like Anthropic, Notion, and Vanta already trust Anrok to stay ahead of rules that move faster than any spreadsheet can. Talk to a sales tax expert for a personalized exposure estimate at https://www.anrok.com/rtn
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform that lets your product team ship new pricing without asking finance for permission, and your sales team close deals without creating downstream chaos. Check out their free tool at calculator.rightrev.com It scores your rev rec process, shows what's exposing you to risk, and tells you exactly where to focus before it bites you in the rear end. Check it out at https://calculator.rightrev.com


    LINKS: 
    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN
    Guest: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rahulrekhi/
    Company: https://www.rogo.ai/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    A CFO Explains the Stock Exchanges
    https://youtu.be/pooOE6ZNGR4
    A CFO Explains Marketplaces
    https://youtu.be/LpbH9GpBrSY

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Preview and Intro
    2:44 Why finance was first to verticalize AI
    6:28 What the president title means at Rogo
    9:55 Sponsors — Pulley | Rillet | Maximor
    13:02 The problem Rogo is solving
    16:16 Token maxing is not transformation
    17:43 Why ROI is so hard to measure
    19:39 Sponsors — Brex | Anrok | RightRev
    22:37 ROI is business-unit specific
    24:03 Budgeting tokens like a benefits load
    25:00 AI incentives aren't aligned to efficiency
    26:26 The model broker function
    32:03 Not all token spend is equal
    37:14 Who owns AI efficiency?
    40:59 The forward deployed banker
    43:00 Domain expertise: the Interstellar analogy
    49:21 Lightning round
    49:28 Screwed up: DCF error in a live deal
    51:13 Will new grads have the spidey sense?
    53:03 Meeting Pope Francis
    55:04 Fact-checking jobs numbers at the White House
    57:39 Advice to younger self
    59:21 Credits
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About Run the Numbers
Run the Numbers is a business podcast about financial metrics and business models for CFOs, aspiring CFOs, finance leaders, and ambitious people operating tech startups. Hosted by CJ Gustafson, CFO and writer of Mostly Metrics, the show shares lessons, frameworks, and operator insights from the trenches as a tech exec. Think of it as a playbook for the things CJ wishes he knew earlier in his career, covering SaaS metrics, annual budgeting, forecasting, headcount, equity, dilution, fundraising, and the decisions that drive performance and growth.
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