Equity Mates Investing Podcast

Former AFL champion turned macro investor Chris Judd returns to unpack the biggest forces shaping markets right now. From the Iran conflict and energy security to the AI arms race, US interest rates, gold and Australia’s productivity problem, Chris explains where he thinks consensus is getting it wrong and how he's positioning the Cerutty Macro Fund to take advantage of the next wave of macro trends.

In this episode:
00:00 – Chris changes his view on Australian small caps
03:24 – Iran, the Strait of Hormuz and why energy matters
08:07 – Is Australia at the top of the rate cycle?
09:24 – Why Chris disagrees with consensus on US rates
13:54 – The real bubble is in bonds
19:17 – Will AI create a productivity boom?
24:07 – Positioning the portfolio for the AI race
31:23 – Australia's gas tax and energy policy debate
35:51 – Gold, central banks and sovereign reserves
41:23 – The most overlooked investment themes
43:47 – The best business Chris has ever seen: Tether
45:33 – Why Claude is his investing tool of choice
46:19 – Final investing advice: know your game

ETFs & stocks mentioned: Gold, Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, Uranium, Helium, Sulphur, Bitcoin, Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU), Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX, Zoom Communications (NASDAQ: ZM), SK Telecom (NYSE: SKM), Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC), Santos (ASX: STO), BHP Group (ASX: BHP), Ramelius Resources (ASX: RMS), Tether, US Treasuries, US Dollar

For Flowpower, go to flowpower.com.au/residential/equitymates and use code EM50 to score an extra $50 welcome credit when you sign up to Flow Power. T&Cs apply.

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message
And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.
Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)
We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points
Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
Watch on YouTube
Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Inflation is proving stickier than expected, with the US now matching Australia at 4.2% and markets repricing the chance of rate hikes. Bryce and Ren unpack what higher inflation could mean for stocks, explore fresh signs of weakness in the Australian housing market, share the latest twist in their quest to land Warren Buffett on the podcast, and answer community questions about building & adjusting a core ETF portfolio.

In this episode:
00:00 – Inflation returns as a global concern
04:36 – Australian housing wobbles and bank shorts rise
07:37 – The latest update in the Warren Buffett quest
11:31 – Billboard & other ideas to get Buffett’s attention
17:19 - Mobilising the Equity Mates Community
21:11 – Core vs satellite portfolios explained
23:19 – DHHF vs building your own ETF portfolio
26:16 – Portfolio weighting, CGT events and hedging

ETFs and Stocks mentioned: DHHF (ASX: DHHF), G200 (ASX: G200), IVV (ASX: IVV), GGUS (ASX: GGUS), VAE (ASX: VAE), VEQ (ASX: VEQ), GHHF (ASX: GHHF), BEMG (ASX: BEMG), EXUS (ASX: EXUS), VDHG (ASX: VDHG), QAU (ASX: QAU), A200 (ASX: A200)

Go to flowpower.com.au/residential/equitymates and use code EM50 to score an extra $50 welcome credit when you sign up to Flow Power. T&Cs apply.

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.

Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)

We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points

Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)

Watch on YouTube

Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Most investors spend their time looking for the next stock to buy, Stephen Arnold, Founder and CIO of Aoris, argues that great investing starts by knowing what not to own. In this episode, he explains Aoris’ quality-first approach, why the fund avoids entire sectors like banks, mining and biotech, and how a concentrated portfolio of just 15 businesses helps them focus on companies with durable advantages, strong cultures and long runways for growth.

In this episode:
00:00 – Why Aoris runs a concentrated portfolio
02:22 – What “quality-first value investing” means
07:52 – Red flags and Aoris’ no-go zones
09:29 – Compass Group: The world's largest contract caterer
18:29 – Cintas: The boring compounder hiding in plain sight
25:06 – The importance of defining what not to buy
27:13 – Why Aoris avoids banks, mining, biotech and more
35:19 – Why only 15 stocks and lessons for investors

Thanks to Aoris for sponsoring this episode and helping to keep our content free. The Aoris International Fund is available as an Active ETF, via the following ASX listed products: ASX: BAOR: Aoris International Fund Active ETF (Class B) & ASX: DAOR: Aoris International Fund Active ETF (Class D) (Hedged).

Visit the Aoris Website to download the Owners Manual - https://www.aoris.com.au/

ETFs and Stocks mentioned: Compass Group (LSE: CPG), Cintas (NASDAQ: CTAS), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA)

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.

Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)

We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points

Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)

Watch on YouTube

Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The biggest names in AI and technology are about to ask investors for an eye-watering $400 billion. SpaceX is heading to market, OpenAI and Anthropic are lining up behind it. Bryce and Ren unpack why the next few months could be the biggest test yet for the AI investment narrative, Bryce reveals his stock thesis framework using Intuitive Surgical as a case study, and for the first time 3 x stocks are pitched for the Equity Mates Community Portfolio.

In this episode:
00:00 — The $400 billion AI market stress test
01:31 — SpaceX IPO demand explodes
05:47 — Alphabet, Meta, OpenAI and Anthropic chase capital
09:11 — Why IPO investors should slow down
10:40 — South Korea’s AI-fuelled bonus boom
14:13 — Bryce reveals his stock thesis cards
15:48 — Intuitive Surgical: thesis, risks and valuation
23:15 — Community Portfolio update and Bitcoin review
26:43 — GE Vernova, Siemens and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries pitch

ETFs and Stocks mentioned: SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B), Facebook, Twitter, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), Shopify (NASDAQ: SHOP), Block (NYSE: XYZ), SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG), Medtronic (NYSE: MDT), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), DaVinci Surgical System, DHHF, Bitcoin, Pro Medicus (ASX: PME), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Global X Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure ETF, GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV), Siemens Energy (ETR: ENR), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (TYO: 7011)

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.

Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)

We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points

Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)

Watch on YouTube

Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Fresh off the sale of Eucalyptus to Hims & Hers in a $1.6 billion deal, co-founder Tim Doyle joins Equity Mates to unpack the journey from startup idea to global healthcare platform. He shares what it was really like in the deal room, the early lessons from Koala and digital marketing, how GLP-1 medications transformed the business, why Australia needs better startup infrastructure, and what founders can learn about risk, ambition and building at scale.

In this episode:
00:00 – The $1.6 billion exit and signing day chaos
02:49 – Why Eucalyptus decided to sell
10:31 – The origins of Eucalyptus and early startup lessons
17:54 – Good businesses, bad businesses and portfolio thinking
26:34 – Building telehealth amid industry criticism
30:52 – How GLP-1s changed everything
40:53 – AI, startups and the next technology wave
47:50 – ESOPs, startup talent and the future of Australia’s ecosystem

ETFs and Stocks mentioned: Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), Atlassian (NASDAQ: TEAM), Woolworths Group (ASX: WOW)

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.

Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)

We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points

Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)

Watch on YouTube

Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.