Talking Property Development with John Kenel

Final Property Development Club podcast for 2025! Andrew Crosby joins me to wrap up the year and look ahead to what's coming.   We dive deep into the government's new development levies system - how it'll replace development contributions and what it means for developers. Plus, economist Cameron Bagrie's bombshell claim that we're actually overbuilding in New Zealand right now (34,000 consents vs 20,000 homes needed).   Andrew shares his LinkedIn poll results, we cover contractor availability, the two-tier market, and why some suburbs are up 10%+ while townhouses struggle.   Also: Goldman Sachs predicting gold at $5,000, rates caps for councils, and why everything might actually get fixed in 2026.

I've been investing in property since 1997 and developing since the early 2000s. I've seen every boom and bust. Here's my take on where house prices are heading in 2026.   I break down the three key drivers: interest rates, immigration, and confidence, plus what could derail things.   Learn the 17-step development process in 42 short videos with The Property Development Club: https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com

People joke Gen Z will own nothing and be happy. They won’t be happy. If we keep tilting rules toward big corporate landlords, ownership concentrates and everyone else rents.   I’ve built more than 1,000 homes in NZ. Most were made possible by private investors backing real projects. That’s how we actually add supply.   In this video: why private landlords matter, what build-to-rent does and doesn’t solve, how student debt and low wages delay deposits, and what policies and practical steps would put Gen Z back on the ownership path.   Learn the 17-step development process in 42 short videos with The Property Development Club: https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com

Queenstown’s on a different planet: $30m sales, talk of $100m builds, and a wave of $5m+ buyers.   Meanwhile in Auckland you can still find new townhouses around $599k. First-home buyers are 27% of the market. The NZD sits near 0.56 USD, 0.86 AUD, 0.45 CHF. Consents are up, concrete pours are still down. And Auckland’s MDRS flip has blindsided projects.   We cover Queenstown’s ultra-lux market, FHB momentum, investor sentiment, rents easing 3% to $628, Waikato vs Waipa prices, and whether apartments and leasehold stack up. Plus the council red tape that kills confidence.   Learn the 17-step development process in 42 short videos with The Property Development Club: https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com   Education only, not financial advice. #johnkenel #assuredproperty

If Labour’s CGT lands, rental supply falls, rents rise, and redevelopment grinds to a halt, here’s what to do. John Kenel’s take on Labour’s proposed Capital Gains Tax. No fluff. Practical consequences for landlords, developers and investors. What I cover: • Why Treasury modelling points to roughly a 5% immediate rent rise. • How targeting property only will shrink rental supply and clog redevelopment. • Small business and home-office carveouts that may be lost. • Why local trades and councils lose out when capital leaves for offshore shares. • Practical steps: re-run feasibilities, check ownership, consider timing and restructuring. Learn more at thepropertydevelopmentclub.com. Subscribe for developer-grade insights, not fluff. #johnkenel #assuredproperty #capitalgainstax #propertydevelopment #nzproperty #housing #developers