362 episodes
#354 - Australian Property Prices Have Fallen 4 Months In a Row (The Crash Is Here)
02/09/2026 | 17 mins.Already house poor or worried you might be? Grab a copy of House Poor:
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Want to achieve financial freedom and build lasting wealth? Get the strategies you need—grab your copy of Money Buys Happiness today: http://moneybuyshappinessbook.com
In this new episode, Lloyd breaks down why Australian property prices have now fallen four months straight, what’s driving the correction, and whether this is just a dip or the start of something deeper. With rate hikes, tax changes, and investor confidence shaken, the crash case is real, but so is the counter‑argument for recovery.
◼️ Why the correction is accelerating
◼️ How rate hikes and tax changes hit investors
◼️ The bear case vs the recovery case
◼️ What owners, renters and buyers should do now
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:31 - The Reality of the Correction
00:00:52 - Monthly Price Declines
00:01:14 - Spread of the Decline Across Cities
00:01:45 - Auction Clearance Rates and Sales Data
00:02:06 - Impact of Rate Hikes and Tax Changes
00:02:26 - Borrowing Capacity Example
00:02:59 - Serviceability and Negative Gearing
00:03:41 - Capital Gains Tax Changes
00:04:02 - Discretionary Trusts and Market Confidence
00:04:12 - Bear Market Argument
00:04:24 - Historical Recovery Engines
00:04:45 - Rent Bomb and NAB Forecast
00:05:38 - International Comparisons
00:05:49 - Bank Forecasts and Price Predictions
00:06:21 - Inflation and Rate Cut Challenges
00:07:03 - Stagflation and Government Decisions
00:07:24 - Expected Price Falls
00:07:34 - Bull Market Argument
00:07:45 - Housing Shortage
00:08:07 - Migration and Demand
00:08:49 - Cash Buyers and Market Floor
00:09:10 - Grandfathering and Supply Lockup
00:09:41 - Rent Math and Vacancy Rates
00:10:01 - Personal Experience with Rental Crisis
00:10:44 - Creative Solutions for Renters
00:11:05 - Cost of Buying vs. Renting
00:11:26 - ANZ Recovery Predictions
00:12:07 - Correction vs. Bear Market vs. Crash
00:12:49 - Long-term Market Outlook
00:13:11 - Buying to Live vs. Flipping
00:13:43 - Rent Increase Strategies
00:14:25 - Alternative Investments
00:14:46 - Holding Property Investments
00:15:17 - Sensible Buying Decisions
00:15:58 - Navigating the Next 12 Months
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DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Investing carries inherent risks including potential loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Individual results vary based on market conditions, personal circumstances, and investment strategy.- Already house poor or worried you might be? Grab a copy of House Poor:
https://moneybuyshappinessbooks.com/housepoorbook
Want to achieve financial freedom and build lasting wealth? Get the strategies you need—grab your copy of Money Buys Happiness today: http://moneybuyshappinessbook.com
In this new episode, Lloyd breaks down the 10 mistakes that cause almost every share‑market loss, all completely avoidable once you understand how real investing works. From speculation and leverage to short time horizons and panic selling, this episode shows you exactly what destroys wealth and what to do instead.
◼️ The fundamentals most investors never learn
◼️ Why speculation, leverage and trading wipe people out
◼️ The danger of stock tips and chasing “cheap” companies
◼️ How panic selling locks in losses and kills long‑term returns
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:41 - Mistake #1
00:02:06 - Mistake #2
00:03:10 - Mistake #3
00:05:45 - Mistake #4
00:08:43 - Mistake #5
00:10:51 - Mistake #6
00:12:28 - Mistake #7
00:14:01 - Mistake #8
00:18:15 - Mistake #9
00:19:49 - Mistake #10
00:20:52 - Conclusion: Avoiding the 10 Mistakes to Succeed in Investing
Follow Lloyd:
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https://www.facebook.com/lloyd.ross.7
https://www.tiktok.com/@lloydjross
https://x.com/lloydjamesross
DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Investing carries inherent risks including potential loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Individual results vary based on market conditions, personal circumstances, and investment strategy. - Already house poor or worried you might be? Grab a copy of House Poor:
https://moneybuyshappinessbooks.com/housepoorbook
Want to achieve financial freedom and build lasting wealth? Get the strategies you need—grab your copy of Money Buys Happiness today: http://moneybuyshappinessbook.com
In this new episode, Lloyd breaks down how close Australians actually are to living off dividends, and why understanding yields, franking credits, and the simple freedom‑number formula makes passive income far more achievable than most people realise.
◼️ What dividends really are
◼️ How franking credits boost income
◼️ Dividend ETFs and sustainable yields
◼️ The exact formula to calculate your freedom number
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:19 - Australia’s franking credit advantage
00:00:32 - What dividends actually are
00:02:00 - Dividends vs buybacks (AU vs US)
00:03:03 - Using dividend‑paying ETFs
00:04:07 - Lloyd’s first dividend experience
00:05:35 - Calculating passive income from yields
00:06:36 - Why Australian companies pay higher dividends
00:08:17 - How franking credits reduce tax
00:10:18 - The formula to find your freedom number
00:11:30 - ETF yields and sustainability
00:12:22 - Example: $900K invested for $50K income
00:13:06 - Shares vs term deposits vs property
00:14:15 - Market risk and long‑term patience
00:14:53 - Dividend frequency and cash flow
00:15:27 - Why dividends can be a retirement plan
00:16:26 - Key behaviour risks to avoid
Follow Lloyd:
https://www.instagram.com/lloydjamesross/?hl=en
https://www.linkedin.com/in/lloyd-j-ross-26b7859/
https://www.facebook.com/lloyd.ross.7
https://www.tiktok.com/@lloydjross
https://x.com/lloydjamesross
DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Investing carries inherent risks including potential loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Individual results vary based on market conditions, personal circumstances, and investment strategy. - Already house poor or worried you might be? Grab a copy of House Poor:
https://moneybuyshappinessbooks.com/housepoorbook
Want to achieve financial freedom and build lasting wealth? Get the strategies you need—grab your copy of Money Buys Happiness today: http://moneybuyshappinessbook.com
In this new episode, Lloyd breaks down how shares actually work and why understanding them as real ownership, not numbers on a screen, changes everything about building wealth. This masterclass goes deep into how great companies operate, how shares are created, and the exact principles he uses to build a portfolio that compounds for decades.
◼️ How shares are created and why IPOs are usually overpriced
◼️ What makes a genuinely high quality business worth owning
◼️ Circle of competence, and why most people should avoid 95 percent of stocks
◼️ The rules Lloyd uses to research, select, and hold individual companies long term
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:01:02 - Private companies and how ownership works
00:02:45 - Debt vs equity, how companies fund growth
00:04:03 - IPOs explained
00:04:48 - Why IPOs are usually overpriced
00:07:10 - Why people invest in shares
00:10:02 - The real purpose of investing
00:12:27 - Compound interest and long‑term compounding
00:13:45 - Circle of competence
00:17:07 - Warren Buffett’s circle of competence
00:19:25 - How Lloyd researches companies
00:22:33 - What makes a quality business
00:25:06 - Monopolies and durable competitive advantage
00:31:12 - Diversification vs concentration
00:33:48 - Index funds and when they make sense
00:47:28 - Building a portfolio that compounds
Follow Lloyd:
https://www.instagram.com/lloydjamesross/?hl=en
https://www.linkedin.com/in/lloyd-j-ross-26b7859/
https://www.facebook.com/lloyd.ross.7
https://www.tiktok.com/@lloydjross
https://x.com/lloydjamesross
DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Investing carries inherent risks including potential loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Individual results vary based on market conditions, personal circumstances, and investment strategy. - Already house poor or worried you might be? Grab a copy of House Poor:
https://moneybuyshappinessbooks.com/housepoorbook
Want to achieve financial freedom and build lasting wealth? Get the strategies you need—grab your copy of Money Buys Happiness today: http://moneybuyshappinessbook.com
Everyone’s panicking about the stock market right now, but most people are panicking for the wrong reasons. In this episode, I break down what’s actually happening beneath the headlines, why the fear is misplaced, and what smart investors are doing while everyone else reacts emotionally.
◼️ Why headlines don’t reflect real market conditions
◼️ The companies still pumping strong earnings
◼️ What Warren Buffett’s moves really signal
◼️ The smart way to invest when uncertainty is high
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:52 - Is the Stock Market Collapsing?
00:01:12 - Market Uncertainty and Human Emotion
00:01:54 - High Valuations and AI Boom
00:02:26 - Jeremy Grantham's Bearish View
00:03:08 - Warren Buffett's Investment Strategy
00:03:39 - Real Estate Market Analogy
00:04:11 - S&P 500 Performance
00:04:52 - Earnings Reports of Top Companies
00:05:03 - Price-to-Earnings Multiples Explained
00:05:48 - American Express Valuation
00:06:41 - Google's Earnings Growth
00:07:35 - Warren Buffett's Investment in Google
00:08:38 - Moody's Earnings Growth
00:08:59 - Oil Companies' Performance
00:09:30 - Visa and Coca-Cola Earnings
00:10:02 - Stock Market Valuations
00:10:46 - American Economy Performance
00:11:28 - Potential Market Collapse Signals
00:12:10 - Warren Buffett's Cash Allocation
00:13:14 - Risk Factors: Oil and War
00:14:06 - Unforeseen Risks and Market Collapses
00:17:28 - AI and Market Predictions
00:18:09 - S&P 500 Future Returns
00:19:03 - Dollar Cost Averaging Strategy
00:19:52 - Following Value Investors
00:20:23 - Unbiased Financial Education
Follow Lloyd:
https://www.instagram.com/lloydjamesross/?hl=en
https://www.linkedin.com/in/lloyd-j-ross-26b7859/
https://www.facebook.com/lloyd.ross.7
https://www.tiktok.com/@lloydjross
https://x.com/lloydjamesross
DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Investing carries inherent risks including potential loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Individual results vary based on market conditions, personal circumstances, and investment strategy.
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About Money Grows on Trees
Welcome to Money Grows On Trees – your go-to podcast for wealth-building, smart investing, and financial freedom.
Hosted by Lloyd James Ross, a millionaire investor and financial educator, this podcast is your go-to source for everything related to money management, passive income, multiple income streams, and breaking free from financial struggle.
Learn how to build multiple income streams, avoid costly mistakes, and develop a millionaire mindset. Whether you’re a business owner, investor, or just serious about wealth, this podcast gives you real-world strategies to grow your money.
Join our community of entrepreneurs, investors, and ambitious individuals as we navigate the path to financial independence. Follow now on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube to start your journey to financial freedom!
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