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At Any Rate
J.P. Morgan Global Research
Business
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5 of 185
Global Commodities: Cocoa demand crunch not as bitter as feared
With Halloween around the corner, one of the peak seasons for chocolate and confectionery demand, cocoa prices have corrected sharply lower, down -20% MOM and YTD losses are approaching -40%, after historic gains through 2025. This week, the final-quarter demand side data for the 2024/25 season arrived, and the 3Q grind was generally better than expected – albeit still historically weak. It will, however, take some time before consumers start to see the declining input costs of chocolate production hit their hip pocket. But there are strong indications that perhaps the worst of the cocoa market crunch is over, and that industry can plan with a little more confidence than in recent years. Speaker: Tracey Allen, Senior Commodities Strategist, Head of Agricultural Commodities Research This podcast was recorded on 17 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5096654-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
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US Rates - Does QT's end matter for funding and Treasury markets?
With QT likely to conclude by the end of the year, US Rates strategists Teresa Ho and Phoebe White discuss the implications for funding and Treasury markets, as well as their broader views on rates. Speakers: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Teresa Ho, Head of US Short Duration Strategy This podcast was recorded on October 17, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
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Global FX: Sailing the USD Bearish Ship in Murky Waters
Against a backdrop of limited data visibility from the US government shutdown, our Global FX Strategists discuss 1) how global growth momentum indicators are tracking, 2) new flare-ups in credit risk & US-China relations impacting the currency space, 3) recent developments in Australia & NZ, and finally 4) some impressions on FX market themes from this week’s IMF/Word Bank meetings. Speakers: Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Ben Jarman, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy This podcast was recorded on October 17, 2025 This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5106732-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
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European Rates: market moves, 2026 Euro area issuance, SSAs, Scandi markets and European inflation
In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss the recent European rate markets moves as well as a variety of different topics: 2026 Euro area issuance, SSAs, Scandi markets and European inflation. This podcast was recorded on 17 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5103174-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
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13:53
Asia Cross Asset Podcast: Japan - The New LDP Leader: Implications for policy and markets
Featured in this podcast are Sajjid Chinoy, Ayako Fujita, Junya Tanase, Takafumi Yamawaki, Rie Nishihara and Tim West. This episode was recorded on October 10, 2025. The surprise election of Sanae Takaichi as head of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Japan has brought Abenomics back in the air. But the macro environment in Japan is currently very different with inflation uncomfortably elevated and sticky. To make sense of what Takaichi would mean for economic policy and markets, Sajjid Z. Chinoy (Head of Asia Economics) and Tim West (Executive Director, Japan Sales) are joined in this week’s podcast by: Ayako Fujita – Chief Japan Economist Junya Tanase – Chief Japan FX Strategist Takafumi Yamawaki – Head of Japan Fixed Income Research Rie Nishihara – Head of Japan Equity Strategy This podcast was recorded on Oct 10, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.
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Analysts from J.P. Morgan Global Research take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.
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