RiskReversal Pod

Brian Belski joins Dan Nathan to break down why he still sees the S&P 500 moving higher — but warns a correction may come first.

Belski explains why this is now an earnings-driven market, why the Mag 7 may begin to hand leadership to the other 493 stocks, and what could trigger the next pullback. He also shares his views on AI stocks, SpaceX/OpenAI IPOs, financials, industrials, housing, rates, and why he believes the market could still end the year with “an 8 handle.”

Topics include:• Why Brian Belski expects a correction before another rally• The case for S&P 8,000 (and why it won’t be a straight line)• AI enthusiasm, IPO mania & whether we’re in a bubble• Why he’s bullish on financials, industrials & select cyclicals• Treasury yields, housing, Walmart, Deere & the consumer outlook• What could actually trigger the next bear market

Timecodes

00:00 Intro + Brian Belski Returns02:00 Inside Belski’s New ETF (HIS) & Stock-Picking Strategy05:45 How Belski Nailed the S&P 7,000 Call08:30 Why 2026 Is an “Earnings-Driven” Market09:45 Why Belski Expects a Market Correction10:45 Mag 7 vs. The Other 493 Stocks14:00 Walmart Warning, Consumer Trends & Retail Risks17:15 Deere, Industrials & Why AI Could Benefit Old Economy Stocks20:00 Why Belski Still Likes Financials Despite Weak Performance21:45 Airlines, FedEx & The Transport Trade24:00 Housing, Homebuilders & What Happens If Rates Fall26:45 Will Treasury Yields Finally Move Lower?31:00 SpaceX, OpenAI & Anthropic IPO Risks33:00 Could AI IPOs Trigger a Market Shake-Up?39:00 The AI Trade: Bubble, Boom or Just Getting Started?44:00 What Wall Street Is Missing in Software & AI45:45 Timing the Next Market Correction48:00 What Could Actually Cause a Bear Market?49:45 Belski’s S&P Outlook: Why He Sees an “8 Handle”

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform.

Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet:
⁠www.Fidelity.com/TraderPlus⁠

Fidelity Investments and Risk Reversal are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC.

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Dan Nathan sits down with Lux Capital partner Shahin Farshchi and AI investor Ann Bordetsky from the RBC Private Tech Conference to explore what comes after ChatGPT — and where the next wave of AI is headed.

From defense, robotics, semiconductors, and space infrastructure to AI agents, enterprise software, and the future of work, these conversations break down the technologies, companies, and trends shaping the next decade. They also discuss trillion-dollar valuations, venture capital, hyperscalers, and what separates breakout AI winners from the rest.

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Today we're doing lunch at Manhatta, towering 60 stories above the financial district. Joining us is Rick Heitzmann, co-founder and partner at one of New York's most influential early stage venture firms, First Mark Capital. 

Rick has been early to some of the most category defining companies of the last decade, backing names like Pinterest, Airbnb, and DraftKings. That foresight has landed him on the Forbes Midas list, not once, not twice, but five times. And if that wasn't enough, he's living the dream of every New York sports fan, joining the ownership group of the New York Yankees.

Timecodes:

00:00 – Cold open: The Vilification of AI

01:08 – Meet Rick Heitzmann

03:18 - Philly Sports Fan Turned Yankees Owner

05:02 - How Rick Got Into Yankees Ownership

06:00 - Spotting Trends Early: DraftKings, Airbnb & Pinterest

07:50 - Sports Betting, Prediction Markets & Integrity in Sports

09:40 - Danny Meyer, Hospitality & NYC Restaurant Culture

11:27 - Why the Restaurant Business Is So Tough Right Now

12:46 - AI, Digital Health & The Future of Healthcare

15:45 - The Explosion of Women’s Sports & Sports Merch Culture

18:02 - The Great Jersey Debate: Should Adults Wear Them?

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Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.

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In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss Friday's stock sell-off, geopolitical tensions, oil and the AI mania. Later, they sit down with Brian Hartigan, Global Head of ETFs & Index Investments at Invesco, to discuss the future of the QQQ, market concentration, passive investing, AI-driven growth, and the next wave of mega IPOs.

They dive into Nvidia’s dominance, the role of options in investing, why QQQ has remained a powerful long-term vehicle, and what investors should understand about market structure as AI reshapes the economy.

Topics include:

• QQQ and the evolution of the Nasdaq 100

• Nvidia, concentration risk & AI winners

• Passive investing and market structure

• The growing role of options strategies

• SpaceX, OpenAI & the next generation of IPOs

• Interest rates, fixed income & portfolio construction

• Product innovation at Invesco

Timecodes:

00:00 Intro: Markets, Trump/Xi Summit & Rising Yields

07:18 Why Bond Yields Could Pressure Stocks

12:08 Is the Consumer Actually Slowing?

16:10 AI Mania, Ford Energy & Speculative Trading

18:50 Cerebras IPO & Peak AI Speculation?

25:05 Brian Hartigan Joins the Podcast

26:35 What Brian Hartigan Does at Invesco

28:15 Inside QQQ: Concentration, Nvidia & Liquidity

30:20 Retail vs Institutional Investors in QQQ

34:05 SpaceX, OpenAI & Fast-Tracking IPOs into Indexes

39:05 Passive Investing & Why Companies Want Into QQQ

42:18 How Investors Use QQQ Options

45:15 Interest Rates, Fixed Income & Portfolio Positioning

47:05 AI, Nvidia & the Future of Market Leadership

50:45 Why QQQ Has Been a Long-Term Winner

52:45 How Invesco Builds New ETF Products

54:40 Georgetown, NCAA Sponsorships & Investor Education

56:45 Final Thoughts & Outro

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Anthony Scaramucci joins Guy Adami for a wide-ranging conversation on everything from Dante’s Inferno and human nature to Bitcoin, risk-taking, wealth, and the future of money. Scaramucci explains why he believes understanding history matters more than ever, shares his outlook on China and Taiwan, and breaks down why Bitcoin could become one of the most important technologies of our time. Plus: lessons on success, failure, family, gratitude, and what really matters in life.

Timecodes:

00:00 Intro 01:00 Why Dante’s Inferno Still Matters03:00 The Nine Circles of Hell & Human Nature04:00 Trump, Xi & the Thucydides Trap09:00 Will China Invade Taiwan?12:00 Legacy, Art & Being Remembered15:00 Why Bitcoin Matters17:00 Bitcoin, Blockchain & the Future of Money22:00 Why You Need Bitcoin Exposure23:00 Who Scaramucci Trusts in Crypto24:00 Reinvention, Risk & Innovation26:30 Are Great Investors Born?28:30 Wealth, Happiness & Family31:00 Forgiveness, Gratitude & Parenting33:00 Final Thoughts + Follow Anthony

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform.

Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet:
www.Fidelity.com/TraderPlus

Fidelity Investments and Risk Reversal are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC.

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