Ep. 334: Mark Farrington on Dollar Dominance, China's Gold Play and Crisis Catalysts
Mark Farrington is a Global Macro and Geopolitical Strategist and author of the 'Watchtower Reports,' which cover topics ranging from geopolitical risk to Bank of Japan monetary policy to US dollar dynamics. He previously served as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager of the Macro Currency Group at Principal Global Investors, where he worked for fifteen years. Before that, he spent 17 years in the Asia-Pacific region, primarily with Bankers Trust. In this podcast, we discuss: US Embrace of Industrial Policy and Self-Sufficiency China's Supply Chain Strategy and Retaliation: Barriers to RMB Internationalisation China's Strategic Interest in Gold Enduring US Dollar Dominance Geopolitical Alpha and Experiential Learning Convergence of Allies on US Worldview Fragility and Vulnerability of Europe Financial Crisis Catalysts: Inflation and Volatility The Threat of Systemic Volatility Books mentioned: Theory of International Politics (Kenneth N. Waltz), The Black Swan (Nassim Nicholas Taleb), The Tipping Point (Malcolm Gladwell), Weaving the Net: Conditional Engagement with China (James Shinn), The Meiji Restoration (W.G. Beasley), The Anarchy: The Relentless Rise of the East India Company (William Dalrymple). You can follow Mark's work here.
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Ep. 333: David Samra on Value Investing, AI Returns, and Bad Management Teams
David Samra is a managing director of Artisan Partners – the $180bn global multi-asset investment platform. He is founding partner of the International Value Group, and portfolio manager of the Artisan International Value Fund, which he has managed since the portfolio's inception in September 2002. David has been nominated for the Morningstar International Stock Fund Manager of the Year Award six times. In this podcast, we discuss: Economic Value Added (EVA) and what makes a good business versus a bad business Principles of value investing Finding undervalued securities through screening and cumulative knowledge Good versus bad management teams The erosion of competitive moats over time, particularly in consumer brands and technology Deep dive into Arch Capital as a case study of a successful investment with unique competitive advantages Shareholder activism as a tool for protecting investments and influencing management Challenges of managing large amounts of capital and finding opportunities in current markets AI investment, capital intensity in tech, and concerns about future returns on capital Views on private markets Books mentioned: Quest for Value (Stewart), The Intelligent Investor (Graham), The Money Masters (Train), and Frederick and Frederica (Helprin). You can follow David's work here.
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Ep. 332: Miguel Gutierrez on Argentina's Transformation, Latin American Opportunities, and Private Market Arbitrage.
Miguel Gutiérrez is a Partner and Head of Private Markets, at The Rohatyn Group (TRG) - a global asset manager that specialises in emerging markets and real assets. Prior to joining TRG in October 2004, Miguel served as the Chairman and CEO of the Telefónica Group in Argentina and Chairman of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. He also served as the non-executive Chairman of YPF S.A. from April 2016 to December 2019. Earlier in his career, Miguel held numerous senior positions at J.P. Morgan, including Head of Global Emerging Markets Sales, Trading, and Research. In this podcast, we discuss: Importance of upcoming Mexico's USMCA negotiations with US US's new approach to Latin America How private markets work in Latin America Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
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Ep. 331: Gordon Hanson on US Manufacturing Fetishisation, Job Loss, and the Middle Class
Gordon Hanson is the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School and Academic Dean for Strategy and Engagement at Harvard Kennedy School. He is best known for his research on the labour market consequences of globalisation, including pioneering work on the China trade shock. Hanson's current research addresses the causes and consequences of regional job loss, the effectiveness of place-based policies in alleviating regional economic distress, and how the energy transition will affect local labour markets. This work is part of the Reimagining the Economy project at the Kennedy School, which Hanson co-directs with Dani Rodrik. In this podcast we discuss America's historical obsession with manufacturing from the Industrial Revolution to today, manufacturing job losses and their impact on non-college workers, how traditional economics fails to measure human flourishing beyond consumption, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
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Ep. 330: Paul Cavey on US-China Trade War, Japan Politics and Taiwan Imbalances
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. In this podcast we discuss US-Chine trade war escalation, state of China's economy and Japanification, PBoC's next move, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
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