Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Available Episodes

5 of 298

Ep. 338: Ken Tropin on Talent Recruitment, Fed Risks, and Biggest Underpriced Trade
Ken Tropin is a legend in the macro space. He is the Chairman and the founder of Graham Capital Management (GCM) - $20bn fund. Ken founded GCM in 1994 and has grown the firm into an industry leading alternative investment manager focusing on global macro discretionary and quantitative hedge fund strategies. Prior to founding GCM, Ken had significant experience in the alternative investment industry, including five years (1989 to 1993) as President and Chief Executive Officer of John W. Henry & Company, Inc. and seven years (1982 to 1989) as Senior Vice President and Director of Managed Futures at Dean Witter Reynolds. In this podcast we discuss: Investment philosophy Differentiation from multi-strat funds Talent recruitment strategy; NY office Fed outlook Term premium as underpriced US deficit concerns and duration risk in long-end rates AI and technology Global central bank divergence Inflation pressures Private credit Dollar view Geopolitical risks Robin Hood Foundation
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Ep. 337: Sangeet Paul Choudary on What Everyone Is Getting Wrong on AI
Sangeet Paul Choudary is the best-selling co-author of Platform Revolution and author of the new book Reshuffle. He has advised leadership teams at over 40 Fortune 500 companies—including Nestlé, ExxonMobil, Daimler, ING, and Booking.com—as well as pre-IPO tech firms. Sangeet currently serves as a Senior Fellow at the University of California, Berkeley, and has spoken at global forums such as the G20 Summit, World50 Summit, and the World Economic Forum.
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Ep. 336: David Dredge on Sharpe Ratio Fallacy, Capturing Upside and Managing Uncertainty
David Dredge is the Chief Investment Officer of Convex Strategies, which is an agnostic value investor in volatility. David has over 30 years' experience managing risk across global markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, David served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore, where he was responsible for the fixed income aspects of their volatility strategy. Earlier in his career, David built and ran Asian and Global EM trading businesses for RBS (ABN AMRO Group), Bankers Trust, and Bank of America. He currently sits on the Monetary Authority of Singapore Markets Committee (SFEMC).
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Ep. 335: Marc Rubinstein on AI Bubble, Private Credit, Jane Street Rise
Marc Rubinstein is author of Net Interest – a leading weekly newsletter on the world of finance. Before this, Marc spent ten years at leading hedge fund Lansdowne Partners, where he was a partner and portfolio manager. This was after he spent time on the sell-side working for Barclays Investment Bank (BZW), Schroders and then Credit Suisse, where he was head of the European banks research team. In this podcast we discuss:. AI bubble historical analogies 1907 crisis and non-bank growth Private credit risks Fraud cycles and market corrections Jane Street's technological edge Exchanges commoditise trading Banks adopt blockchain technology Fintech challenges incumbents AI disrupts entry-level finance jobs Books mentioned: 1929 (Andrew Ross Sorkin), Land Trap (Mike Bird)
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Ep. 334: Mark Farrington on Dollar Dominance, China's Gold Play and Crisis Catalysts
Mark Farrington is a Global Macro and Geopolitical Strategist and author of the 'Watchtower Reports,' which cover topics ranging from geopolitical risk to Bank of Japan monetary policy to US dollar dynamics. He previously served as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager of the Macro Currency Group at Principal Global Investors, where he worked for fifteen years. Before that, he spent 17 years in the Asia-Pacific region, primarily with Bankers Trust. In this podcast, we discuss: US Embrace of Industrial Policy and Self-Sufficiency China's Supply Chain Strategy and Retaliation: Barriers to RMB Internationalisation China's Strategic Interest in Gold Enduring US Dollar Dominance Geopolitical Alpha and Experiential Learning Convergence of Allies on US Worldview Fragility and Vulnerability of Europe Financial Crisis Catalysts: Inflation and Volatility The Threat of Systemic Volatility Books mentioned: Theory of International Politics (Kenneth N. Waltz), The Black Swan (Nassim Nicholas Taleb), The Tipping Point (Malcolm Gladwell), Weaving the Net: Conditional Engagement with China (James Shinn), The Meiji Restoration (W.G. Beasley), The Anarchy: The Relentless Rise of the East India Company (William Dalrymple). You can follow Mark's work here.
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