2025 = Biggest Bank M&A Year In History? Bank Zhar Brad Rinschler on Credit, CRE, GBank, REIT Pain, and Much Much More
Brad Rinschler, managing partner and portfolio manager at Down Range Capital, joins Jack to share his in-depth view on the many niches of publicly traded bank stocks. Rinschler explains why he was short all 5 of the banks that failed in 2023, and why he is relatively constructive on small & community banks in 2025. He also offers his bull case for the red-hot stock $GBFH, which he has been involved with for many years. Recorded on January 27, 2025.
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GBank quarterly earnings: https://www.gbankfinancialholdings.com/financial-insights
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1:27:21
Joseph Wang: Tariffs Are Coming & They Will Be Bad For Stocks (But Good for America)
Joseph Wang of FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters to share his view that markets are insufficiently discounting the large and significant tariffs that the Trump Administration will implement shortly. Joseph and Jack also review the January Fed meeting, with Joseph noting that Fed chair Powell might be significantly more dovish than the FOMC committee. Joseph explains why he is bearish on stocks and bullish on bonds and gold (and short-term interest rates). Recorded on January 30, 2025.
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Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12
Joseph’s website: https://fedguy.com/
Pieces discussed:
“The Plan”: https://fedguy.com/the-plan/
“It is a Good Day to Tariff”: https://fedguy.com/it-is-a-good-day-to-tariff/
“Shifting Flows”: https://fedguy.com/shifting-flows/
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51:20
Russell Clark on Inverting the Long Short Hedge Fund Model and Battling Investors' Biggest Risks
Former fund manager and short seller Russell Clark has always believed that the key to adding value for investors is to solve for the biggest risks in their portfolios. He also argues it’s the key to successfully raising hedge fund assets. In this interview, Clark discusses the biggest risks he thinks investors face right now, why these risks have him considering relaunching his hedge fund after returning capital in 2021, and why if he does relaunch, he’s inverting the long short hedge fund model.
You can read Russell's Substack here: https://www.russell-clark.com
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Follow Russell Clark on Twitter: https://x.com/rampagingruss
Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
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56:58
January Fed Meeting Breakdown | Jack Farley & Max Wiethe on Powell, Banks, and China's AI Race
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell updated investors on the key factors driving interest rate policy at the same time as another perhaps even bigger factor, the future of AI, is rocking markets. Jack & Max breakdown Powell’s press conference, the data points to watch, and the AI elephant in the room.
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Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe
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32:59
Tariffs Could Blow Up the Bond Market | Mark Zandi on the Biggest Risk to the Economy
Mark Zandi, Chief Economist for Moody’s Analytics, joins monetary matters to discuss his outlook for the US economy and why he thinks higher yields driven by broad based tariffs are the biggest risk to the US economy. Despite the economic strength he still sees he believes recession risk is elevated, and this risk is being driven primarily by policy uncertainty. He also discusses the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and why he thinks most paths to exiting conservatorship create a lot of pain for the mortgage market.
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Follow Mark Zandi on Twitter: https://x.com/Markzandi
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Listen to Mark’s Podcast “Inside Economics”: https://www.moodys.com/web/en/us/about/insights/podcasts/moodys-talks-inside-economics.html
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