Get ready for the week ahead with Investopedia’s Editor in Chief, Caleb Silver, as he digs into the most important stories in finance and global economics. Thro...
DeepSeek, A.I., Tariffs, and the Future of Economic Security
A jam-packed January full of news also brought DeepSeek into the future of A.I. conversation, deep-seating Nvidia as the world's most valuable company, and calling into question the hundreds of billions of dollars of spending by Big Tech on semiconductors to control the future. The Fed punted on interest rates, as expected, but now new tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China threaten to upend the effects of monetary policy and bring more inflation to our doorsteps. Plus, scholars take shots at the Efficient Market Hypothesis, and ask whether passive investing has actually made the stock market inefficient.
LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/imposing-duties-to-address-the-flow-of-illicit-drugs-across-our-national-border/
https://www.investopedia.com/trump-tariffs-enacted-saturday-what-you-need-to-know-8783771
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3821263
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/efficientmarkethypothesis.asp
https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8783286
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15:16
The Upcoming Showdown at the Fed, and Making Cents out of Eliminating the Penny
On The Express this week, we dissect the flurry of economic executive orders and announcements from the Trump administration and identify the new power brokers influencing markets and the future of A.I. The Federal Reserve will meet on interest rates for the first time this year and the first time under this administration, which has been demanding lower rates. Plus, DOGE, led by Elon Musk, says it's time to stop printing the Penny, but those cents come with billions of dollars worth of complications even though they cost more to produce than they are actually worth. And, stocks touched record highs again last week, and breadth inside the markets actually improved which could set the stage for the next leg of this bull market.
LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES
https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-the-federal-reserve-s-interest-rate-decision-wednesday-8779447
https://www.investopedia.com/nuscale-oklo-and-other-nuclear-stocks-soar-on-anticipation-of-ai-growing-energy-needs-8779389
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dark-pool.asp
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-fed-powell-interest-rates-inflation-apple-tesla-microsoft-earnings-8779620
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13:37
The New Economic Policy Playbook and the Future of TikTok
It's a newer, faster version of The Express, and we break down the path of economic policies promised by the incoming Trump administration, including what's likely to happen, and what might get challenged. Plus, the future of TikTok in the U.S. is changing by the minute, but recent developments and the seating arrangement at the inauguration tell us that the popular social video app isn't going anywhere. And, get used to hearing about the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, and watch for new amendments to the 95-year old piece of legislation.
LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/smoot-hawley-tariff-act.asp
https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8776336
https://www.investopedia.com/trump-has-promised-these-major-economic-actions-on-day-one-8776775
https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2024-trump-day-one-agenda/
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11:31
Reasons to Remain Bullish as the Bond Vigilantes Circle
Despite the recent and relentless rise in Treasury bond yields and a sell off in the stock market, Dr. Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, remains one of the most bullish strategists out there. Yardeni, who coined the term "Bond Vigilantes", outlines the risks, probabilities and opportunities facing investors today, and explains why he sees the S&P 500 topping 10,000 by the end of the decade. Plus, expensive stocks have pushed the equity risk premium to historical lows, but those hoping for it to rise better be careful what they wish for.
LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES
www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-877192
https://www.investopedia.com/hiring-surprisingly-surged-in-december-8772350
https://classic.foodandwine.com/
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20180926tealbooka20180914.pdf
https://yardeni.com/
https://yardeni.com/quicktakes/
https://www.investopedia.com/bond-vigilante-6386194
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31:39
What to Expect Across the Capital Markets in 2025
Following back to back years of twenty-percent plus gains for the stock market, what should investors expect in 2025 as a new administration moves into Washington D.C., the U.S. economy continues to grow and consumers are feeling as confident as they have in years? Liz Young Thomas, SoFi's Head of Investment Strategy, rejoins The Express to share her outlook for 2025, including the biggest risks and opportunities on the horizon. Plus, 2024 was the second year in a row where retail investors beat the market. What would it take for a three-peat?
LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES
https://www.sofi.com/article/investment-strategy/liz-looks-at-the-2025-outlook/
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/j/januaryeffect.asp
https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8768364
https://www.vandaresearch.com/news/
https://www.bespokepremium.com/interactive/research/think-big-blog/
https://www.instagram.com/lizthomasstrat/?hl=en
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Get ready for the week ahead with Investopedia’s Editor in Chief, Caleb Silver, as he digs into the most important stories in finance and global economics. Through expert analysis, interviews with the biggest names in business, and educational breakdowns of the news that moves markets, The Investopedia Express preps you with the information you need to start your week in finance.