916 episodes
The Property Slingshot: Why Today's Falling Prices Could Trigger Tomorrow's Boom | John Lindeman
21/10/2026 | 26 mins.Right now, property headlines are telling you the market is falling apart.
Prices have been down in almost every capital city for months in a row. Bank economists are downgrading their forecasts. Talk of more interest rate rises before Christmas.
And if you're an investor watching your portfolio value dip on paper, that news cycle feels personal.
But what if I told you that the very thing that's spooking everyone right now, this run of falling prices, is actually the setup for the next property boom, not the end of one?
Well, that's the view of my guest today - John Lindeman, one of Australia's most respected property market analysts and researchers.
In this episode, I speak with John Lindeman about why Australia's property downturn may be setting the scene for the next upswing.
We examine the slingshot effect: pent-up buyer demand can return quickly when confidence improves or lending conditions change.
John explains how interest rates, bank incentives and APRA's borrowing buffer could influence buyer activity and property prices.
We look at why sales volumes, inspections and loan pre-approvals can reveal a market turn before prices do.
The key message for investors is to seek quality property and long-term value rather than trying to perfectly time the bottom.
Takeaways
• Housing shortages underpin long-term demand in capital cities.
• Buyer uncertainty can suppress sales without removing demand.
• Pent-up buyers may return quickly after confidence improves.
• Lower interest rates helped lift prices after the GFC.
• Deposit guarantees give government a stake in housing stability.
• Banks may offer incentives to revive mortgage lending activity.
• APRA's assessment buffer influences how much buyers can borrow.
• Higher sales volumes can signal a turn before prices.
• Open-home attendance helps reveal changes in buyer confidence.
• Quality investment-grade property matters more than timing perfectly.
Chapters
03:05 - How long this downturn will last
05:26 - What the slingshot effect actually is
06:33 - The lesson from the GFC crash that never came
10:43 - APRA, the buffer rate and the trigger nobody talks about
14:25 - The early indicators to watch for
Links and Resources:
Join me at one of our upcoming seminars in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane.
• Click here for more details and to lock in your spot. https://metropole.com.au/how-to-grow-seminar/
• Join us in this small group environment so you can get your personal questions answered.
Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/
• Win a hard copy of Negotiate Influence Persuade.
• Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report
Michael Yardney – Subscribe to my Property Update newsletter here
Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan. Click here and have a chat with us.
John Lindeman, Lindeman Reports.
https://lindemanreports.com.au/
Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au
Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.
About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia
The Michael Yardney Podcast is one of Australia's leading property investment podcasts, helping investors understand the Australian property market and build long-term wealth through strategic property investing.
Each week we explore:
• Australian property market updates
• Property investment strategies in Australia
• Melbourne property market trends
• Sydney property market forecasts
• Brisbane property investment opportunities
• Capital growth property strategies
• Property cycles in Australia
• Negative gearing and tax strategy
• Interest rates and their impact on property
• Buyer's agent insights and investment planning
If you're serious about building a high-performance property portfolio and creating financial freedom through real estate, this podcast will give you the clarity and strategy you need.
Learn more at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
https://metropole.com.au- Melbourne property investors have endured almost a decade of disappointing growth, and the usual explanation is taxes, debt and government policy.
But what if the biggest cause was the extraordinary 20-year boom that came before it?
By the end of this episode, you'll understand exactly why Melbourne has underperformed for the best part of a decade, why the usual suspects, land tax, state debt, poor sentiment, probably aren't the real culprits, and why the length of Melbourne's flat patch might actually be the strongest signal yet that a powerful new growth cycle is coming.
Stuart Wemyss, my guest today, has crunched forty-five years of data across every capital city in Australia, and what he's found flips the whole "Victoria is broken" narrative on its head.
In this episode, we discuss Melbourne's property market and what its long period of weak growth could mean for investors.
We examine why Melbourne's recent performance may be the aftermath of an unusually strong 20-year boom, rather than the result of one policy or economic factor.
Stuart explains how he uses 45 years of capital city data to compare current prices with long-term trends.
We explore why Melbourne houses and apartments appear below those trends, and what might prompt the market's next growth phase.
The conversation also considers rental yields, negative gearing changes and the choices investors can make when planning for the long term.
Takeaways
• A long boom helps explain Melbourne's recent stagnation
• Tax changes can shape sentiment without explaining everything
• State debt alone doesn't predict property performance
• Population growth and productivity support economic expansion
• Forty-five years of data reveal long-term market trends
• Melbourne houses sit below their estimated long-term trend
• Apartments appear further below trend than houses
• Percentage growth may ease as property prices rise
• Stronger yields may improve an investment's income profile
• Buying selectively can matter before growth returns
Links and Resources:
Join us at one of our upcoming seminars in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane.
· Click here for more details and to lock in your spot.
https://metropole.com.au/how-to-grow-seminar/
· Join us in this small group environment so you can get your personal questions answered.
Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/
· Win a hard copy of How To Grow A Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio In Your Spare Time.
· Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report.
Michael Yardney
Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan. Click here and have a chat with us.
Stuart Wemyss – Prosolution Private Clients
Stuart's new book – Wealth by Design: 8 rules for smarter investing and financial freedom
https://www.amazon.com.au/Wealth-Design-smarter-investing-financial/dp/192318654X/
Get a bundle of free reports and eBooks: www.PodcastBonus.com.au
Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.
About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia
The Michael Yardney Podcast is one of Australia's leading property investment podcasts, helping investors understand the Australian property market and build long-term wealth through strategic property investing.
Each week we explore:
• Australian property market updates
• Property investment strategies in Australia
• Melbourne property market trends
• Sydney property market forecasts
• Brisbane property investment opportunities
• Capital growth property strategies
• Property cycles in Australia
• Negative gearing and tax strategy
• Interest rates and their impact on property
• Buyer's agent insights and investment planning
If you're serious about building a high-performance property portfolio and creating financial freedom through real estate, this podcast will give you the clarity and strategy you need.
Learn more at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
https://metropole.com.au - What if the biggest financial mistakes people make aren't about picking the wrong investment or getting the timing wrong - but about the things nobody ever sat them down and actually explained?
I've spent over 50 years in property investment. I've read hundreds of books, attended countless courses, paid for mentors, and written nine books of my own.
And yet, despite all of that, some of the most important money lessons took me far longer to truly understand than I would have liked.
Today, I want to share those with you. Not as theory, but as the hard-won insights I'd go back and tell my younger self if I could - lessons that would have accelerated my wealth-building and saved me from a few unnecessary headaches along the way.
Some of these will challenge what you've been told. Some will feel obvious in hindsight. And a few might make you stop and think differently about decisions you're making right now.
The discussion explores how delayed gratification and patience can help investors build lasting wealth instead of chasing quick results.
The episode considers why daily market noise can lead to poor decisions, while quality assets and long-term thinking provide greater perspective.
I explain why property investment should be treated as a deliberate process involving strategy, the right team, careful asset selection and disciplined risk management.
The conversation concludes by looking at future-focused decision-making, the value of financial freedom and why most worries never become as serious as expected.
Takeaways
• Patience allows quality investments to benefit from long-term compounding
• Productive debt funds assets capable of growing in value
• Consumer debt reduces wealth by financing short-term spending
• Cash-flow buffers protect investors during rising interest rates
• Daily market commentary can encourage emotionally driven decisions
• Property often appears expensive before long-term growth becomes visible
• Investment success depends more on fundamentals than forecasts
• A clear strategy prevents impulsive property purchases
• Financial freedom gives people greater control over life choices
• Future-focused decisions can improve money, health and relationships
Chapters
03:06 - Lesson 1: Learn delayed gratification
04:48 - Lesson 2: Debt is not the enemy, mismanaged debt is
06:48 - Lesson 3: Watching the market daily will not help
09:20 - Lesson 4: In 30 years you will wish you invested more
10:57 - Lesson 5: Nobody knows short term performance
14:13 - Lesson 6: Property investing is a process, not an event
16:34 - Lesson 7: Money cannot buy happiness but it changes the terms
17:55 - Lesson 8: You only need the core principles
19:58 - Lesson 9: Will my future self approve of this
21:18 - Lesson 10: Things will work out
Links and Resources:
Join us at one of our upcoming seminars in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane.
• Click here for more details and to lock in your spot.
https://metropole.com.au/how-to-grow-seminar/
• Join us in this small group environment so you can get your personal questions answered.
Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/
· Win a hard copy of How To Grow A Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio In Your Spare Time?
· Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report – What's ahead for property for 2026 and beyond.
Michael Yardney – Subscribe to my Property Update newsletter here.
Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property plan. Click here and have a chat with us.
Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au
Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.
About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia
Success in property investment isn't just about numbers - it's about mindset, behaviour and decision making.
In The Michael Yardney Podcast, we explore the psychology of wealth, the habits of successful investors, and how to think strategically during uncertain market conditions.
Regular topics include:
• Psychology of money and wealth
• Investor behaviour and market cycles
• Rich habits vs poor habits
• High performance mindset
• Risk management thinking
• Decision making under pressure
• Long-term investing discipline
• Overcoming fear in property markets
• Building wealth through strategy, not speculation
If you want to avoid common investor mistakes and develop the mindset required to build lasting wealth in Australia's property market, this podcast is for you.
More resources at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
https://metropole.com.au The Great Australian Property Shuffle: Where Future Demand Is Heading | Simon Kuestenmacher
12/10/2026 | 37 mins.By the time many of today's Gen Z buys their first home, Melbourne will have overtaken Sydney as Australia's biggest city.
Canberra will be bigger than Newcastle. And a sleepy Victorian farming town called Warragul will have more than tripled in size.
If that sounds far fetched, stick around, because today we're unpacking a piece of research that maps out every major Australian city and town all the way to 2050, and some of the findings will completely reshape how you think about where the next wave of property demand is heading
It's more than just a prediction; it's a trendline built on twenty-five years of hard data by the Demographics Group and today we're going to show you exactly what it means for where you should be investing over the next quarter of a century."
In this episode, Simon Kuestenmacher talks about how Australia's demographic shifts are reshaping our cities and property markets.
We unpack the long-term population patterns that are steering growth toward some areas and away from others.
We explore why lifestyle towns, regional hubs, and major capitals are all facing very different demand pressures.
We look at how intergenerational wealth transfer and ageing baby boomers will influence housing choices and market activity.
We finish by connecting these demographic changes to smarter property decisions for investors and everyday Australians.
Takeaways
• Australia's population growth will favour selected locations
• Melbourne may surpass Sydney in population
• Canberra could outgrow Newcastle over time
• Population growth alone cannot guarantee investment success
• Diverse employment strengthens long-term housing demand
• Infrastructure investment can accelerate regional property growth
• Household incomes influence sustainable property price growth
• Limited housing supply can intensify local competition
• Owner-occupier demand supports stronger market resilience
• Wealth transfers may reshape future housing decisions
Chapters
03:48 - Another eight million Australians by 2050
08:07 - Why Melbourne will overtake Sydney
14:55 - Sponge towns and the regional decline spiral
16:05 - The rocket towns set to triple in size
26:48 - Boomer deaths and the coming wealth transfer
Links and Resources:
Join us at one of our upcoming seminars in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane.
• Click here for more details and to lock in your spot.
https://metropole.com.au/how-to-grow-seminar/
• Join us in this small group environment so you can get your personal questions answered.
Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/
• Win a hard copy of How To Grow a Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio in your Spare Time?
• Every entry receives a copy of a fully updated Property Report.
Michael Yardney
Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan. Click here and have a chat with us.
Simon Kuestenmacher: Australia's leading demographer and partner in the Demographics Group.
Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au
Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.
About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia
The Australian property market doesn't move in isolation - it's shaped by demographics, economic forces and long-term structural trends.
The Michael Yardney Podcast dives into:
• Australian economic outlook
• Demographic trends shaping housing demand
• Population growth and migration impacts
• Housing affordability debates
• Interest rates and inflation
• Supply shortages and construction cycles
• Government policy and property markets
• Future trends in Australian real estate
• Strategic property investment planning
If you want to understand what's really driving property prices in Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and around Australia, and how to position your portfolio for the future, this podcast delivers data-driven insights and practical strategy.
Explore more at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
https://metropole.com.au- Right now, there are two types of property investors in Australia. Those who bought before 7:30pm on the 12th of May 2026, and those who bought after it.
And depending on which camp you're in, the entire economics of your next move just changed.
If you already own an established investment property, you're sitting on something the government has effectively locked in for you, full negative gearing, the old rules, preserved.
But here's what almost nobody's talking about. What you do with that property from here can either protect that advantage or accidentally throw it away.
Can you renovate it without losing your grandfathered status? Can you add a second dwelling on the same block? And when you go looking for finance to do any of it, does your bank even understand what you're trying to achieve?
In this episode I speak with Dorian Traill and by the end of this episode, you'll know exactly how to use the property you already own to build more wealth, without stepping on the very tax treatment that makes it valuable in the first place.
We examine how the new rules create different tax outcomes for existing and future property owners.
The conversation explores when renovating a grandfathered property may improve its value, depreciation benefits and investment appeal.
We also look at loan structures, deductible borrowing, construction finance and the risks of mixing personal and investment debt.
Finally, we consider subdivision, development funding and why a clear exit strategy should guide every project from the beginning.
Takeaways
• Grandfathered properties retain important negative gearing advantages
• Tax benefits cannot rescue an underperforming property
• Renovations may improve depreciation and future value
• Loan structures can protect borrowing deductibility
• Mixed-purpose debt can compromise tax deductions
• Repairs and improvements receive different tax treatment
• Demolition may affect grandfathered property treatment
• Construction finance requires careful project planning
• Larger developments may require commercial lending
• Exit strategies should guide development decisions
Chapters
02:05 - What grandfathered negative gearing actually means
06:21 - Can you renovate without losing it
13:25 - How to fund a renovation the right way
18:27 - Splitting the block and adding a second dwelling
21:13 - When lending tips over into commercial
Links and Resources:
Join us at one of our upcoming seminars in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane.
• Click here for more details and to lock in your spot. https://metropole.com.au/how-to-grow-seminar/
• Join us in this small group environment so you can get your personal questions answered.
Answer this week's trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/
• Win a hard copy of Negotiate Influence Persuade.
• Everyone wins a copy of a fully updated property report
Michael Yardney – Subscribe to my Property Update newsletter here
Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan. Click here and have a chat with us.
Dorian Traill, Senior Wealth Planner at Metropole https://metropole.com.au/expert/dorian-traill/
Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au
Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future. Or click here: https://demographicsdecoded.com.au/
About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia
The Michael Yardney Podcast is one of Australia's leading property investment podcasts, helping investors understand the Australian property market and build long-term wealth through strategic property investing.
Each week we explore:
• Australian property market updates
• Property investment strategies in Australia
• Melbourne property market trends
• Sydney property market forecasts
• Brisbane property investment opportunities
• Capital growth property strategies
• Property cycles in Australia
• Negative gearing and tax strategy
• Interest rates and their impact on property
• Buyer's agent insights and investment planning
If you're serious about building a high-performance property portfolio and creating financial freedom through real estate, this podcast will give you the clarity and strategy you need.
Learn more at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
https://metropole.com.au
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About Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast
Looking for practical, proven strategies to build wealth through property investment in Australia?
The Michael Yardney Podcast is one of Australia's leading property investment and wealth creation podcasts, helping investors cut through media hype and make smarter real estate decisions.
Twice each week, property strategist and best-selling author Michael Yardney shares:
* Australian property market insights and forecasts
* Proven property investment strategies
* Real estate investing advice for beginners and experienced investors
* Personal finance and money management principles
* Wealth creation and financial freedom strategies
* The psychology of success used by high-performing investors
In each 30-minute episode, you'll gain clear, research-based guidance on how to invest in Australian real estate strategically - not speculatively.
Michael Yardney is Australia's leading expert in wealth creation through property investment and a property market commentator who has mentored over 3,000 investors, entrepreneurs and business owners over the past 26 years. He is a #1 best-selling author of 9 books on property investing, wealth creation and success, and has been voted one of Australia's Top 50 Influential Thought Leaders.
Unlike many real estate podcasts that focus on short-term tactics or market noise, this show delivers long-term, strategic property investment advice tailored to the Australian market.
Whether you are:
* Starting your property investment journey
* Building a multi-property portfolio
* Scaling towards financial independence
* Or refining your wealth strategy
You'll learn how to grow, protect and pass on wealth through strategic property investment and smart financial decisions.
If you're serious about creating financial freedom through Australian real estate, this podcast will give you the roadmap.
Listen now at: http://MichaelYardneyPodcast.com
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