The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, finan...
In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the upcoming ''Tariff Day'' and how to trade it. The duo shares their scenario-based approach covering multiple asset classes including bonds, FX and equities.
Alf can be reached via X (@MacroAlf) and on Bloomberg (Alfonso Peccatiello)
Brent can be reached via X (@@donnelly_brent) and on Bloomberg (Brent Donnelly)
Show notes: https://50in50.substack.com/p/trade-6-options-or-cash
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-17jan25/
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33:39
The UK Bond Market Is Imploding
Alf and Brent discuss the big moves in UK bond markets and the drop in the UK Sterling: bond vigilantes are in action, but what next? They also focus on the upcoming tariff announcement and the impact on US bond markets, the US Dollar and equity markets.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-10jan25/
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35:57
The Most Hawkish Fed In Years - What Now?
Powell delivered a super hawkish message: inflation remains sticky, and the Fed won’t cut rates as much as the market expected in 2025. The “Fed Put” is not there anymore - should investors go and buy their own puts?
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-20dec24/
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38:53
The US Dilemma in 2025
Alf and Brent discuss the US dilemma in 2025: should Trump be aggressive out of the gate with tariffs sacrificing growth for foreign policy victories, or should he focus on other priorities allowing Powell to cut rates and facilitate the refinancing of $7 trillion of maturing Treasuries? The duo also discussed the perils and benefits of leverage in trading and investing.
Do you want to ask questions to Brent and Alf?
Reach out to Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly on Bloomberg.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-13dec24/
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36:50
Trading Trump 2.0
Alf and Brent resume the show by assessing how to approach Trump 2.0 from a macro trading perspective in 2025. They also discuss the ''Death of Europe'': is it happening, or is it an overcrowded narrative?
Trial for Alf's Institutional Research: https://forms.gle/25heFudTB4ouuJ1H6
Brent's Daily Newsletter: https://www.spectramarkets.com/
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-06dec24/
The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas this is the podcast for you!
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